Keys to the ACC Championship, Part 2: NC State, Boston College, and Virginia
by Chris James, TechSideline.com,
7/20/05
Continuing
our Keys to the ACC Championship feature, we�ll take a look at three teams
that should be pretty good, but lack either talent or experience at some key
positions that will likely keep them from competing for the ACC Championship.
But after Virginia Tech�s 2004 season, you never really know. We�ll start
with the only ACC team to beat the Hokies last year, N.C. State, and cover
Boston College and Virginia as well.
N.C. State (13 returning starters)
N.C. State could be a real sleeper this year in the ACC. I say this for two
reasons. Number one, they were (-17) in turnover margin in 2004, which effectively
eliminated them from every close game they played (VT excepted). Also, they have
one of the top defenses in the nation.
If Jay Davis improves and the defense remains strong, an easy
out-of-conference schedule (at Temple, Eastern Kentucky, Southern Miss) will put
the Wolfpack back in a bowl game. If they can manage to upset Virginia Tech on
opening weekend, N.C. State should not play another challenging game until they
play at Georgia Tech on Thursday, October 6.
Strength
The obvious strength of this team is the outstanding defensive line.
This group has been together for quite awhile. They are a veteran group,
starting three juniors and a senior. Manny Lawson and Mario Williams man the
defensive end positions, and there is no better end combination anywhere in
America. This is a group that abused the Tech offensive front in Blacksburg last
season, and they will be looking to do the same in Raleigh this year.
Weakness
Based on last season�s results, quarterback is the obvious choice
here. Jay Davis had big shoes to fill with the departure of Philip Rivers, and
fill them Davis did not, throwing 15 interceptions to only 12 touchdowns.
However, Davis had a solid completion percentage (55.9%) and threw for over
2,000 yards. Marcus Stone was a freshman backup that many Wolfpack fans wanted
as their starter, but the offense appeared very limited when he was in the game.
The secondary was another choice for team weakness, as they don�t return
any fulltime starters. Marcus Hudson started five games at free safety last
season and will move to corner in 2005. This unit might take its lumps early on
and get beat for some big plays. They will be on an island because of State�s
aggressive front seven and will give up some yards early in the season, but as
the season drags on, this unit has the talent to be very good.
Key to the Season
How will the Wolfpack adapt to their new offensive and defensive
coordinators? Defensive coordinator Reggie Herring and offensive coordinator
Noel Mazzone departed the program in the offseason, and it could take some time
to adjust to new plays and altered schemes of Mark Trestman (offense, from the
Miami Dolphins) and Steve Dunlap (defense, from Syracuse). Trestman brings a wealth of
NFL experience to the table and will install the West Coast offense for the
Wolfpack. How quickly Jay Davis and the offensive line adjust to this new type
of offense will decide how successful N.C. State is in 2005.
Boston College (15 returning starters)
Boston College will bring some good, hard-nose football to the ACC. They lost
only 15 lettermen from their 2004 team, a group that won the Continental Tire
Bowl. They are a very well-coached team under Tom O�Brien, and they are the
only team in the nation to have won five consecutive bowl games.
That being said, BC was never anything more than an upper middle-of-the-pack
team in the Big East. They lacked the overall team speed to compete with Miami
and Virginia Tech, and the depth to win on a consistent basis. Their talent
level has improved somewhat, but an even tougher schedule won�t mean more
wins.
Strength
BC�s strength in 2005 should be the offensive line. The Eagles
return all five starters from a group that was already very solid. The five
returning linemen for the Eagles have started a total of 87 games for Boston
College. This group could turn out to be the best line in the ACC.
Weakness
Team speed is still the biggest weakness for Boston College, although
they have gotten better in that regard. They do have some big time players on
their team, such as defensive end Mathias Kiwanuka, CB/WR Will Blackmon, and
rising star linebacker Brian Toal, but they lack the overall team speed that
programs such as Miami, Virginia Tech and Florida State have in their programs.
Key to the Season
Boston College needs to hold serve at home to begin the 2005 season.
Five of the Eagles� first seven games are at home, including contests against
Florida State, Virginia and Wake Forest. Wake has beaten BC two consecutive
seasons. The Eagles finish the season playing three of their last four on the
road, at VT, UNC and Maryland. They also get N.C. State at home in that stretch.
Boston College needs to win early to make their seventh consecutive bowl
appearance.
Virginia (12 returning starters)
Virginia has very good talent at certain positions, but the talent base isn�t
effectively spread throughout the team to warrant picking them higher than
fourth in the ACC and third in the Coastal Division. Al Groh has recruited
talented linebackers and offensive linemen, but hasn�t been able to bring in
enough receivers, defensive backs or talented quarterbacks.
The Hoos get Florida State and Virginia Tech at home, but must travel to
Maryland, Miami and Boston College.
Strengths
The offensive backfield is UVA�s strength in 2005. Most would say
the linebacking corps, and they should be good as well. But as of yet, Ahmad
Brooks the football player hasn�t caught up to Ahmad Brooks the athlete, plus
there will be two new starters at outside linebacker, so I�m going with the
offensive backfield.
UVA returns Wali Lundy, who is very talented, despite being benched in favor
of Alvin Pearman last season. Pearman is NFL bound, and Lundy has his starting
job back and must protect the football better. That said, Lundy is a very good
back who has good depth behind him. Michael Johnson is a burner, and Cedric
Peerman was impressive while redshirting last season. Jason Snelling is one of
the top fullbacks in the ACC if he can return to his 2002 form.
Weakness
Youth in the front seven could potentially be a major problem for
defensive coordinator Al Golden in 2005. UVA will likely start four sophomores
in their front seven. Chris Johnson or Chris Long will start at defensive end,
Keenan Carter at defensive tackle, and it looks like Jermaine Dias and Vince
Redd will start at outside linebacker. These guys will have some young backups
as well. Another sophomore, Nate Lyles, will likely start at one of the safety
spots, meaning five sophomores will be starting defenders for Al Groh.
Key to the Season
The Hoos need an offensive playmaker to step up and deliver in 2005.
Lundy will be a very good running back, but senior quarterback Marques Hagans
needs a speedy playmaker on the perimeter to put pressure on the defense. If
this doesn�t happen, UVA could be one-dimensional on offense for the second
consecutive season.
TSL Pass Home
TSL Home