by Chris James, TechSideline.com,
7/14/05
Many
factors go into a team winning a conference championship. It takes skill, enough
strengths to overcome weaknesses, great team chemistry, and luck. In 2004, the
Hokies had all of the above and managed to win the ACC in a season in which many
questioned whether or not they would be in the top half of the league. Whoever
wins the crown in 2005 must possess many of the same characteristics as the 2004
Hokies.
Because of 2004, and the amount of outstanding players the Hokies are
returning, they are going to be picked in the top three of the ACC for the
upcoming season. However, 2004 also proved that the previous season meant
nothing, as Tech rallied from a poor Big East finale to win the ACC. There are a
few things we know about the 2005 Hokies. They have plenty of skill, and a lot
of strengths on the team. However, will the strengths be enough to overcome the
weaknesses, will they have the same great chemistry, and will opposing DBs keep
blowing coverages (cough**James Butler**cough) when they’ve got the Hokies on
the ropes?
Most people think the race will come down to Florida State, Miami and
Virginia Tech, and I’m inclined to agree. However, this series of articles
will examine all of the ACC schools that have any chance at all of winning the
ACC Championship. Thus, we’ll focus on nine teams, and leave Duke, UNC and
Wake Forest out. The first article focuses on Maryland, Clemson and Georgia
Tech.
Maryland (10 returning starters)
The Terps had a tough season last year, only going 5-6, but Ralph Friedgen
won over 30 games in his first three seasons in College Park, so we'll give them
the benefit of the doubt and talk about their chances to win an ACC
championship.
Only ten starters return for a team that played good defense but didn’t
have the talent at quarterback to pull off another winning season for Friedgen. As the
season went along, it became obvious that quarterback Joel Stratham was not the
man to lead Maryland towards the top of the ACC. In a horrible stretch of games
beginning with Georgia Tech, the Terps had games where they scored 7 against the
Yellow Jackets, 3 against NC State, 7 against Clemson, 20 against Florida State,
0 against UVA and 6 against Virginia Tech. Only the Florida State game was a
win. Maryland then finished the season off with a 13-7 win over Wake Forest.
For those of you who have been following the ACC for awhile, that’s a
pretty shocking development from a team coached by Ralph Friedgen, who was an
outstanding offensive coordinator at Georgia Tech.
But last year is over, and Maryland looks to use 2005 to turn their program
around and get it rolling in the right direction once again. However, with what
they have coming back, that doesn’t look like it’s going to be easy. Not
only did the Terps lose some good players to expired eligibility, but they also
have already lost a key part of their team in leading returning rusher Josh
Allen, who might be forced to sit out all of the 2005 season with a torn ACL.
With Allen’s injury, Maryland’s leading returning rusher is Mario Mellis,
who rushed for 124 yards and one touchdown in 2004.
The starting quarterback, at least at the beginning of the season, will
likely be Sam Hollenbach. Hollenbach started the season finale against Wake
Forest in 2004 and went 16 of 27 for 164 yards with no interceptions. Stratham’s
problem last year was his 8 touchdowns to 15 interceptions in ten games.
However, he is the returning starter, so he will be in the mix for the starting
job.
Sophomore Jordan Steffy will also be in the mix, and Friedgen sees him as the
quarterback of the future. Steffy was suffering from a nerve problem in his
right (throwing) shoulder and arthritis in his right knee, but the knee is
currently not a problem (according to published reports) and the shoulder has
been fixed with surgery. Steffy has gained 20 pounds since last season and is
physically ready to compete for the job.
It is almost impossible for quarterback play to be worse for Maryland than it
was in 2004, so this group should be better this year. How much better remains
to be seen.
The defense loses defensive end Shawn Merriman, a first round draft pick by
the NFL, but should still be a solid unit, and will serve as the strength of the
team. D’Qwell Jackson returns at linebacker, and he is an outstanding player,
despite being undersized. One player to keep an eye on for Maryland is Gerrick
McPhearson, a senior cornerback. McPhearson started the last five games of the
2004 season and has been timed at a 4.28 in the 40 yard dash. He is the only
returning starter in the secondary and could emerge as an All-ACC caliber
player.
Strength
Without a doubt, the strength of this team is at tight end. Vernon
Davis is the most athletic tight end in the ACC, and maybe in the country.
Maryland uses Davis in a variety of ways, including tight end, H-back and
fullback. This season Friedgen wants to use a true fullback as a major part of
the offense, so look for Davis to see more time as a true tight end. Derek
Miller will also see a lot of time, and he could be the best run blocking tight
end in the ACC.
Weakness
This one is tough to choose. You know about the quarterback and running back
problems, but the Terps will also be starting three sophomores on the offensive
line, and they replace three starters in the secondary. Ultimately, I’ve got
to go with quarterback as Maryland’s main weakness. If the Terp signal
callers turn the ball over as much as they did last year, Maryland will be
staying in College Park for the second consecutive holiday season.
The Key to the Season
Maryland’s key to having a successful season and putting themselves in
position to have an outside shot at the ACC Championship is improving their
turnover margin. The Terps lost nine fumbles last season and threw 16
interceptions. The Maryland defensive recovered ten fumbles, but intercepted
only six passes. With as many close games as Maryland had last season, turnover
margin played a major role in their failure to appear in a bowl game. Maryland’s
quarterbacks must cut down on their turnovers, and the defense must find some
playmakers in the secondary for Maryland to have a good season.
Clemson (13 returning starters)
There is only one word that comes to my mind when I think about Clemson. They
are an enigma. After beating Wake Forest in double overtime to begin the season,
the Tigers dropped four consecutive games to Georgia Tech, Texas A&M,
Florida State and Virginia. The last three of those four games were on the road.
They followed up those losses with four straight wins, including a 24-17 victory
at Miami. The week following the big Miami win, they lost to Duke. They
immediately followed that terrible loss with a win over arch rival South
Carolina. Clemson was bowl eligible, but as self punishment for a brawl in the
South Carolina game, they elected not to accept any bowl invitations.
In short, we don’t quite know what to expect with this team.
That holds true again in 2005. Clemson lost 13 starters, which means they
have some holes to fill. But on the other hand, they only lost 17 total
lettermen, which is the 2nd fewest in the ACC. They’ve got some starters to
replace, but it looks like they have some experienced backups to plug into the
lineup.
Clemson will head into the 2005 season with two new coordinators. Rob Spence,
who is known for his high powered offenses at Toledo, will head up the offense.
Spence is Tommy Bowden’s fourth offensive coordinator in seven years. Vic
Koenning will become the new defensive coordinator for Bowden. His new defense
will focus on speed and will use some new types of players, such as a combo
defensive end/outside linebacker, and a strong safety/linebacker, which is
similar to what the rover used to be in Virginia Tech’s system.
Strength
Despite his bad 2004 season (7 TDs, 17 INTs), I’m going to say that the
strength of Clemson’s team is quarterback Charlie Whitehurst. The
intangibles that a senior quarterback brings to the table are very important.
Whitehurst is capable of much better numbers than he put up in 2004. (He threw
for 21 touchdowns and 13 interceptions as a sophomore in 2003.) With Spence
joining the Tigers as offensive coordinator, Whitehurst is poised for a very
good senior season. Spence’s offense revolves around high percentage passes
and making good reads, something Whitehurst should excel at as a senior.
Weakness
Clemson's linebacker corps is undersized, plus they lost ACC Defensive
Player of the Year Leroy Hill. The 2005 projected starters, Tramaine Billie
(6-1, 205), Anthony Waters (6-3, 235) and Nick Watkins (6-2, 210) are undersized
as a group, and must use their speed to gain an advantage. In fact, the entire
Clemson defense is undersized, with the biggest starter, nose guard Cory Groover,
weighing in at 280.
The Key to the Season
I think the key to 2005 for Clemson is whether or not Tommy Bowden keeps
his hands off the offense and allows Rob Spence to do his thing. Bowden has
a history of tinkering with his team's offense, and at times his offensive
coordinators do not truly coordinate the offense. Spence is a proven offensive
coordinator, and Bowden just needs to step back and trust the men that he has
hired. If Whitehurst can get a hot hand, there isn’t a team in the ACC that
the Tigers aren’t capable of beating, and they can potentially finish in the
top half of the Atlantic Division of the ACC.
However, their schedule is against them. They don’t play a gimme until Oct.
22 against Temple. Also with their loss to Duke last year, I suppose nothing can
be considered a gimme. Clemson’s September schedule is tough, with home games
against Texas A&M, Miami and Boston College, while the Tigers must travel to
Maryland. October begins with two consecutive road trips to Wake Forest and NC
State. November isn’t exactly easy, with a home game against Florida State and
road games against Georgia Tech and rival South Carolina.
Georgia Tech (14 returning starters)
Georgia Tech is a team that many are predicting to be the surprise of the ACC
this season, and I agree that they are very talented. They were inconsistent in
2004 but showed that they could play with the big boys when they nearly knocked
off Virginia Tech and Georgia. With 14 returning starters, including 8 on an
already very good defense, the Yellow Jackets are looking to make a move up the
ACC standings. They closed out 2004 in strong fashion with a 51-14 victory over
Syracuse in the Champs Sports Bowl.
Georgia Tech’s offense should pack plenty of big play punch in 2005, with
quarterback Reggie Ball, tailback P.J. Daniels and wideout Calvin Johnson all
returning to the starting lineup. Tech’s offense should be very balanced this
season. Ball is a very dynamic quarterback, but will need to cut down on his
turnovers (18 interceptions last season) to be successful. Ball will also have
to be more accurate, as he only completed 49.7% of his passes in 2004. P.J.
Daniels might be the best running back in the ACC, and Calvin Johnson probably
owns the same title for the wide receiver position.
Defensively, Georgia Tech should be very good at every position. They took
some hits along the defensive line in the offseason because of injuries and
academics, but they do return Eric Henderson, one of the ACC’s best defensive
ends. And with the outstanding linebackers behind them, even if there is a
drop-off in play up front, it likely won’t be that noticeable.
One thing that could (and probably will) kill the Yellow Jackets is their
schedule. Georgia Tech has to travel to Auburn, Virginia Tech, Miami and
Virginia this year. They also host Georgia. Auburn lost a lot of top notch
players, so that game is winnable, as is the game at Virginia. The Yellow
Jackets are also fully capable of knocking off Georgia. But winning at Miami and
Virginia Tech will be tall orders to say the least, especially with an
inconsistent quarterback. However, Georgia Tech is more than capable of winning
all of their ACC home games, and probably should win all of them.
Of the schools previewed in this article, Georgia Tech has the best chance to
make some noise in the ACC race.
Strength
I’ll have to go with the defense, although I can agree with other
views as well. With the offense being wildly inconsistent in 2004, the defense
was able to hold the team together, keep opposing teams out of the end zone on
many occasions, and will the team to a winning record. There was some attrition
in the offseason along the defensive line, as well as Reuben Houston in the
secondary, but this is still a pretty stacked unit. It should be one of the ACC’s
best in 2005.
Weakness
The offensive line is probably the biggest weakness for Georgia Tech
this season. They only return two starters, and moved Mansfield Wrotto from the
defensive line in the spring because of the lack of players. They have since
moved Wrotto back to the defensive line because of player attrition. Georgia
Tech could end up starting three sophomores and a freshman up front.
The Key to the Season
Like Maryland, I’ll say it about Georgia Tech as well…turnover margin.
The Yellow Jackets were -13 in turnover margins in 2004, so Reggie Ball is going
to have to do a much better job of protecting the football. For Georgia Tech to
have a chance to win the ACC, his interceptions must be cut in half. He also
must throw for a higher percentage. Georgia Tech is talented enough to win a
couple of their tough road games this year, but they need to be ahead in
turnover margin rather than behind.