by Will Stewart, TechSideline.com,
5/25/05
A couple of years ago, we ran an article titled "Naming VT's Top Gun
Recruiter," a piece that reviewed the players signed by various VT
assistant coaches from 1998-2003, then named Jim Cavanaugh as VT's "Top
Gun" recruiter, beating out Bryan Stinespring and Charley Wiles. The award
was an overall award, but I got to thinking, why not hand out the Top Gun award
every year? And why not make it strictly numbers-based?
For five years now, we have been producing TSL Pass articles "Inside the
Numbers: Ranking the Recruits" (click
here for the 2005 version) that use various ranking services (SuperPrep,
Rivals.com, and Scout.com) to assign numerical scores for each incoming recruit.
Recruits get a maximum of 15 points from each service and can score as high as
45 points total.
It seems a natural extension of those rankings to total them up according to
VT recruiting coach, assigning points to each coach for the recruits they
signed, then see which coach gets the most points … and name him the Top Gun
recruiter for that year. We have five years of "Ranking the Recruits"
data, so not only can we name the Top Gun for 2005, but we can go back for five
years and hand out the award.
(As a sidebar, we have written articles ranking recruits in two ways: when
they sign and after their VT careers are over. The first way is the
"Ranking the Recruits" articles described above, where scores are
assigned based on recruiting service rankings, before the recruit starts their
VT career. The second way is with our "Ranking
the Recruiting Classes" articles, which assign points to players based
on what they accomplished during their VT careers. Less than a year from now,
for the first time ever, we'll be able to compare pre-career "Ranking the
Recruits" scores for a class to their post-career "Ranking the
Recruiting Classes" scores, for the 2001 recruiting class. As soon as the
2006 NFL Draft is conducted, we'll have pre- and post-career numbers for the
2001 class, and that's when the fun starts of seeing which 2001 recruits met
expectations, which ones were busts, and which ones were sleepers.)
Before we hand out the Top Gun award for 2005 (and 2001-2004), which is a
very simple exercise based on data we've got on file, let's rehash some good
info that was in the 2003 Top Gun article that we ran. Here's a chart showing
VT's assistant football coaches from 2001-2005 (the lack of turnover is amazing
– Rickey Bustle left after 2002 and Kevin Rogers was hired to replace him, but
that's it):
VT Assistant Coaches, 2001-2005 |
Coach |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Jim Cavanaugh |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Bud Foster |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Billy Hite |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Bryan Stinespring |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Charley Wiles |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Rickey Bustle |
X |
X |
|
|
|
Kevin Rogers |
|
|
X |
X |
X |
Danny Pearman |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Tony Ball |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Lorenzo Ward |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Now, let's crunch the numbers and see who comes out as Top Gun. We'll do a
detailed analysis for 2005, including players signed and points scored, then
we'll do a less-detailed analysis for 2001-2004, using just total points.
2005 Top Gun Recruiter
Here are the players signed by each coach in 2005, the number of points each
player scored in our Ranking
the 2005 Recruits article, and the total number of points scored by each
coach.
2005 Top Gun Recruiter Scoring (Ranked by Total
Points) |
Recruiting Coach |
Player |
Player
Points |
Total
Points |
Points per
Player |
Jim Cavanaugh |
Elan Lewis |
23.7 |
96.3 |
19.3 |
Stephen Friday |
16.8 |
Richard Graham |
4.0 |
Todd Nolen |
17.4 |
Victor Harris |
34.5 |
Bryan Stinespring |
Deveon Simmons
|
25.1
|
54.1 |
18.0 |
Greg Boone |
18.1 |
Demetrius Taylor |
10.9 |
Lorenzo Ward |
Sergio Render |
14.5 |
44.0 |
11.0 |
Ed Wang |
13.3 |
Dorian Porch |
12.2 |
Brent Bowden |
4.0 |
Kevin Rogers |
Cam Martin |
16.8 |
31.0 |
15.5 |
Jahre Cheeseman |
14.2 |
Charley Wiles |
Hivera Green |
19.1 |
28.3 |
14.2 |
Stephan Virgil |
9.2 |
Tony Ball |
Ike Whitaker |
26.1 |
26.1 |
26.1 |
Billy Hite |
Kenneth Jefferson |
14.5 |
23.0 |
11.5 |
Robert Norris |
8.5 |
Bud Foster |
Antonio North |
14.5 |
22.5 |
7.5 |
Eric Davis |
4.0 |
Cordarrow Thompson |
4.0 |
Danny Pearman |
None |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Note: Brandon Holland, Sam Wheeler, and William Wall are not included
because they were prep players who were not scored/ranked in the
"Ranking the 2005 Recruits" article. |
There is no question that Jim Cavanaugh was the Top Gun this year, by a
wide margin. Cavanaugh had a great year by
any measurement and finished ahead of his fellow coaches in terms of total
points and average points per player (with the exception of Tony Ball, who beat
Cavanaugh in average points because Ball signed just one player, the
highly-rated Ike Whitaker).
So congratulations to Jim Cavanaugh, our 2005 Top Gun Recruiter.
Now, what about 2001-2004?
Top Gun Recruiter, 2001-2004
In awarding Top Gun after the fact for 2001-2004, we'll list just the coaches
and their scores, without going into detail on what players they signed and how
those players scored. Here are the results in one table (with 2005 included,
just for handy reference):
Top Gun Recruiter Scoring, 2001-2005 |
Coach
|
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Avg. |
Total |
Ball |
27.4 |
12.9 |
17.1 |
32.4 |
26.1 |
23.2 |
115.9 |
Bustle |
38.8 |
35.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
37.0 |
74.0 |
Cavanaugh |
48.1 |
* 80.4 * |
* 67.9 * |
32.7 |
* 96.3 * |
* 65.1 * |
* 325.3 * |
Foster |
20.0 |
29.9 |
21.0 |
0.0 |
22.5 |
18.7 |
93.4 |
Hite |
19.1 |
0.0 |
25.3 |
5.0 |
23.0 |
14.5 |
72.4 |
Pearman |
26.2 |
0.0 |
37.6 |
24.7 |
0.0 |
17.7 |
88.5 |
Rogers |
0.0 |
0.0 |
25.1 |
24.4 |
31.0 |
26.9 |
80.6 |
Stinespring |
65.3 |
36.8 |
36.0 |
40.4 |
54.1 |
46.5 |
232.6 |
Ward |
* 68.9 * |
20.7 |
29.5 |
* 46.2 * |
44.0 |
41.9 |
209.3 |
Wiles |
28.1 |
26.5 |
16.6 |
0.0 |
28.3 |
19.9 |
99.6 |
Here's a listing of just the winners, and the players they signed in their
winning year.
Top Gun Recruiter Winners, 2001-2005 |
Year |
Coach |
Points |
Players |
2001 |
Lorenzo Ward |
68.9 |
Kevin Jones (44.8 pts)
Danny McGrath (12.1)
Blake Warren (12) |
2002 |
Jim Cavanaugh |
80.4 |
Marcus Vick (39.8)
Jonathan Lewis (30.8)
Noland Burchette (6.8)
Brenden Hill (3.4) |
2003 |
Jim Cavanaugh |
67.9 |
Xavier Adibi (25.4)
Chris Ellis (23.7)
Duane Brown (14.8)
DJ Parker (4.0) |
2004 |
Lorenzo Ward |
46.2 |
Eddie Royal (24.0)
Sean Glennon (22.2) |
2005 |
Jim Cavanaugh |
96.3 |
Victor Harris (34.5)
Todd Nolen (17.4)
Elan Lewis (23.7)
Richard Graham (4.0)
Stephen Friday (16.8) |
Ave. Pts |
Jim Cavanaugh |
65.1 |
N/A |
Total Pts |
Jim Cavanaugh |
325.3 |
N/A |
This is interesting stuff. Cavanaugh is the king, but a surprise two-time winner is Lorenzo Ward, who doesn't
sign the quantity of players that Cavanaugh and Stinespring do, but to use a
baseball analogy, when he does make contact, he hits it out of the park, with
recruits like Kevin Jones and Eddie Royal. In years where Stinespring has done
very well, Ward has managed to eke out a win over him, leaving Stinespring, as
good a recruiter as he is, with no wins.
In the coming years, Stinespring and Cavanaugh will continue to duke it out,
and Ward and others will get their shots in where they can.
Data
For all the scoring, all the tables in this article, and more, check out our
Microsoft Excel spreadsheet:
http://subscription.techsideline.com/tslpass/2005/topgundata2005.xls