With four starters returning from team that finished with
an 8-8 conference record, and a 16-14 mark overall that included post-season
play in the NIT, the basketball future for Virginia Tech appears to be a
reasonably bright one, over the next couple of years at least. What can we
really expect though from the individual members of the team, and will the team
be one that we recognize from this year with the main components back, or will
it be another changing-of-the-guard?
Greenberg Takes a Gamble
First
and foremost, one thing that is becoming clear is that Seth Greenberg appears to
be returning for his third season in charge, and that is very good news for
Hokie Nation. Greenberg was selected ACC Coach of the Year, quite a feat
considering the caliber of coaches that reside in the conference. It was a
well-earned acknowledgement of his crafting of the program this year, and the
job that he did was nothing less than splendid.
What coach has the temerity and the cajones to redeal the
cards in the middle of the season like Greenberg did this past year? That is
what we saw with Greenberg when he thought long and hard during the Holiday
season, perhaps after more than a few egg nogs laced with his favorite adult
beverage, and came upon a plan for success during the second half of the season.
'Why not take the one thing that we are doing well,' he
thought, 'eliminate it and throw it in the recycle bin, and start from scratch,
right when we are entering our most challenging phase of the season?' That's
what Greenberg did when he decided to cast aside his 1-3-1 half court trapping
defense that had been so successful at creating turnovers during the
out-of-conference portion of the schedule, and reinvent the team on the fly just
in time for ACC play.
It just shows how very sure and confident Greenberg is,
not to mention how willing he is to take risks. That decision might have been
the single biggest decision and most important factor in the Hokies’ excellent
conference record. It also was a decision that was fraught with a high degree of
risk and potential failure.
Greenberg decided that the best chance that this team had
for success was to slow the pace of the game with conference foes and try and
keep the scores lower than people wanted them to be. The ACC proved to be a very
high scoring conference, and many of the teams wanted the score to be in the 80’s
or even 90’s (Wake Forest and North Carolina). Utilizing the 1-3-1 half-court
trap in conference games would have ensured that the pace of the games stayed at
a faster speed than Greenberg was willing to allow.
So he eliminated the 1-3-1, gave his guards great
decision-making responsibilities in the half court offense, and generally won
games by seeing a rejuvenated home court advantage combined with keeping scores
lower than his opponents wanted. Greenberg found a style of play that afforded
his team the best chance of winning basketball games, something that is called
being a good coach.
The Frontcourt Outlook
Greenberg's skills and deft touch will be required next
year as well. Losing Dixon to graduation will be a significant blow to the team.
Dixon was the team’s second leading scorer; he was a sound defender and
four-year starter. On a team that is perimeter-challenged, Dixon represented one
of the two most trusted threats from behind the arc, along with sophomore Zabian
Dowdell.
The immediate question becomes who will step in and garner
those minutes at the small forward position that Dixon leaves behind. Deron
Washington is a definite possibility, and his size and athleticism are more
conducive to playing on the perimeter. However, Washington also seems to be more
naturally suited to play inside than on the perimeter, so Greenberg’s first
challenge will be addressing which position Washington will play next season. We
witnessed how tough it was for him to consistently guard power forwards in the
conference. He found himself in foul trouble on more than a few occasions.
Washington was usually at a height and significant weight disadvantage, and that
probably won’t be fully remedied with off-season workouts.
On the other hand, Washington will need to quickly upgrade
his perimeter shooting and ball handling to be able to play large minutes at the
small forward position. In addition, his deep stroke isn’t anywhere close to
that of the departing Dixon and the Hokies need all the help they can get there.
The best way to characterize Washington now is to say he really isn’t a true
three-man (small forward), and he really isn’t a legitimate four-man (power
forward) either. Instead, Washington is probably closer to a three-and-a-half,
and that is why the tilting of the balance on that see-saw should be very
closely monitored to see which direction he falls in.
Probably the biggest variable that could go a long way
toward a successful season next year is the continued development of freshman
center Robert Krabbendam. The 6-11 post player struggled to adjust to the high
caliber basketball that he saw this year, as well as the cultural adjustments
off the court. But people close to the program swear that Krabbendam was a
vastly improved player during the last two to three weeks of the season. You
could see that his upper body added some much-needed definition during the
course of the season. Krabbendam also gained about 15 pounds during the year,
finishing somewhere between 220 and 225 pounds.
Krabbendam's confidence on the court seemed to increase
during his last several court appearances. Should he continue that development
and arrive next fall with another 15 pounds of muscle, and a healthy dose of
increased confidence to go along with that, he could be exactly what this team
needs, especially if it means a post presence who can rebound and allow Coleman
Collins to defend more forwards, rather than centers. It is far too early to
write Krabbendam off, and it might be instead that next year will give a much
better indication of how much help Krabbendam will be on the court during his
remaining three years. There is some offensive ability there to work with, and
there are many players his size that lack his mobility.
Speaking of Collins, his season can be divided into two
seasons. The one that he had early before he had surgery, and the one afterward,
when his health was much different. Collins has improved his game right before
our eyes and gives Tech a player who can step out and face the basket, as well
as score down inside. When Collins plays well, the team generally does well and
it must be remembered that he is a very young sophomore who will continue to
improve. Collins will have to hit the weights and become stronger, but his work
on the glass during the second half of the season was very encouraging. Collins
is also the lone proven scorer among the Tech frontcourt players and has All-ACC
type ability if he can stay healthy, continue to get stronger and find some
inside help for his large talents.
Rising senior Allen Calloway will have his work cut out
for him next year in earning minutes. With incoming freshmen Hyman
Taylor,
Terrance Vinson, and Cheick Diakate entering the program, Calloway is faced with
circumstances that might dictate that he finish his career buried deep on the
bench. Calloway's offense has never developed as those close to the program had
hoped. While Calloway will provide the occasional highlight reel dunk, and he is
arguably one of the two best athletes in the program, he simply hasn’t become
a difference maker or the type rebounder many thought he could become.
Speaking of the incoming freshmen, there will be early
opportunities for the aforementioned Taylor, Vinson, and Diakate to work their
way into the playing rotation.
Taylor is the largest of the three by a small margin at
6-9, 230-odd pounds. Vinson is 6-7, 215, and Diakate is 6-8, 225 pounds. All
will have the opportunity to step in and shore up the rebounding deficit that
the Hokies often faced this past season. None of them is a polished, developed
offensive player, but if any of them can quickly adjust to the speed of the game
and college basketball, while showing that they can get on the glass and help
Collins, their opportunities for playing time will increase.
There is some consolation in that these post prospects are a
larger group than we have witnessed in the recent past. Sophomore Coleman
Collins entered Blacksburg as a 205-pound freshman. Current freshman Robert
Krabbendam also entered as a 205-pounder, albeit on a 6-11 frame. Junior Allen
Calloway was 195 pounds when he arrived as a freshman and fellow classmate at
the time, Philip McCandies was even smaller, at 190 pounds.
Diakite, Taylor and Vinson all have a launching point that
places them above where the afore-mentioned group started. And, for that, we see
some progress as far as front court interior recruiting is concerned. Perhaps
the incoming players are not the household names we would like them to be.
Perhaps their collective best basketball will be ahead of them down the road,
rather than next year as most everyone would ideally wish. But, that can largely
be said about the Hokies’ incoming freshmen along the frontline in most every
recent recruiting class. The distinction here is that this group comes without
the glaring physical disadvantages that characterized the earlier groups and
that is a start toward more accomplished and finished products.
Finally, before any analysis of the frontcourt prospects
for next year is complete, Chris Tucker must be mentioned. The 6-7 sophomore has
worked himself into the equation with hard work, fine interior defensive ability
and steady decision-making on the court. Tucker is reputed to be a very reliable
perimeter marksman, something that we really didn’t get to see this past
season. He did provide valuable minutes in several games, and Greenberg relied
on him more during conference play than he did earlier in the out-of-conference
games. That probably speaks more than anything to his improvement. An offseason
of continued work and development of his inside scoring could put Tucker again
squarely in the frontcourt mix.
Next week, we will continue our look ahead to Virginia
Tech prospects for the 2005-06 season, looking at the wing players and returning
backcourt players on the team.