While this second edition of Greenberg has been an unqualified step forward,
there is still much left to be done on this reclamation project, starting with
finding the very best player to take the one remaining scholarship that
Greenberg has to use this spring. That player might be a junior college post
prospect. He could end up being one of the remaining few high school front court
prospects. He might even be a front court player from a foreign country whose
name we won’t immediately be able to pronounce or spell.
It is even possible that this next Virginia Tech player won’t even be a
front court player at all. And, with all of the movement in college basketball,
can we totally eliminate a potential transfer donning the orange-and-maroon next
year? Probably not.
While the season ended with a stunning quickness, the time to ponder and
reflect upon the highs and lows is not now. Not yet, at least for the staff.
Time is of the essence in gaining traction with the available prospects on the
recruiting trail that can still help shape the 2005-06 edition of Hokie
basketball, or in more succinct terms, Year Three of the Greenberg era -
assuming that happens, of course, a more likely event given the contract
extension that Athletic Director Jim Weaver gave Greenberg last week.
The coaches are consumed with the immediacy of wrapping up their 2005
recruiting class, but we can feel a little warm and cozy at this time,
especially when compared to the feelings we felt at this time last spring, when
we knew the program was embarking on the first year of ACC play after losing the
leading scorer from the 2003-04 team, Bryant Matthews. Or how about two years
ago, when we were coming off another season-ending stay-at-home performance,
while other Big East members whooped it up in the Garden at the Big East
tournament. And having just dispatched four-year head coach Ricky Stokes, we
were still looking for the new sheriff to direct a moribund basketball program.
Go ahead and count me as an optimist, but you don’t have to be a
Prozac-induced sufferer to see that things are really a little bit brighter now
than they have been during the past two off-seasons. The key question now
becomes what will year three hold? Will the progress continue? What exactly will
be considered progress, and will it be distinctly measurable or be something
more abstract?
After seeing the program in the doldrums for too many years, every follower
can easily see the path out of the abyss. Getting into your own conference’s
postseason tournament and posting a winning season reflects some progress, and
we witnessed that in the first year of Greenberg’s tenure. In this past
season, we saw a team surprise almost all pundits, finishing 8-8 in the ACC,
getting a first round bye in the conference tournament and being seeded fourth,
then finally participating in postseason play for the first time since the
1995-96 season, albeit in the junior mint tournament, the NIT.
The progress was easy to measure because almost any small step represented
progress, after year after year of emptiness. That road now has become much
grayer, as well as more difficult to navigate.
For instance, if this team falls short of .500 in conference play next
season, will people consider that a disappointment, given that there will be
four returning starters? Even if a sub-.500 record is as simple as taking this
season and reversing the results of one last-second victory, resulting in 7-9
instead of 8-8? Will another winning record be a requirement before even
discussing whether progress continued in year three, even if the overall
schedule gets beefed up?
Is the margin between progress and stagnation that minute?
Once you have shown and demonstrated back-to-back relatively successful
seasons under a new coach, perhaps it just might be. Expectations become
elevated, for the simple reason that they have been dormant for so long. Failure
was expected in many quarters due to the recent trends. Now that people have had
a taste of postseason play, more will be expected.
It probably won’t even come as a shock to see this program picked in the
upper half next season in pre-season ACC prognostications. If you need any proof
of rising expectations, consider that very real possibility.
Perhaps the most under-rated variable that comes into play next year concerns
the expectations of the players and being able to play under the newly-created
atmosphere of being expected to win more often than they lose. Even having a
bull’s eye on your back will be something that will be a new development for
this program in recent years. This isn’t to suggest that other conference
opponents will see Virginia Tech as the opponent they can defeat to bring
credibility and national attention to their program. That is still reserved for
Duke and North Carolina in this conference. It also doesn’t mean that other
conference opponents will take this team more seriously next year, either. That
lack of preparation and respect was always reserved for our former brethren of
the Big East.
It does mean that our players might operate under a different mindset. Gone
will be that chip-on-the-shoulder, no-respect mantra that they have felt during
the past two seasons, trying to prove themselves worthy members of two of the
best conferences in the country, while their recent records suggested otherwise.
They will no longer go into every conference game as an underdog.
They will no longer be a program looking to make a statement and earn opponents’
respect.
Instead, it will now be about expectations. It will be about the pressure
that comes with performing as people think you should. It will now mean that
each victory will not be treated as a small measure of progress, but rather an
expected development in many instances, a simple small step to gas up before
continuing the journey. It will be about handling that increased pressure,
scrutiny and attention that will come when you feel that you have to surpass
what you recorded in your most recent season.
Expectations can be a drag because often they are unrealistic and don’t
account for the full, broad picture. Often, expectations are all black-and-white
and leave no room for the gray shadings that we know exist.
But, like I said before, an optimist would rather have some
expectations, even if somewhat unrealistic, rather than the numbing feeling that
usually accompanies a situation when zero success is expected and
you cast furtive glances at other programs and wish at times they were your very
own.
Anyway, Virginia Tech just might have the “Madonna” of college basketball
in residence in Seth Greenberg. He has redefined and re-invented this program
over the past two seasons rather adroitly, so an optimist is going to eagerly
look forward to the reformation he has in store for Year Three, even if there
will be increased expectations. Those longing glances at what your neighbors
have aren’t as commonplace as they use to be, and that is a small step of
progress as well.