TSLMail
#371- March 6, 2009 |
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Tech Sports News |
Imbalanced Scheduling Creates Tough Job for Selection Committee
by Chris Coleman, TechSideline.com
Lost with ACC expansion
was the conference's round-robin play during the regular season. Every team
played every other team twice. Everyone had the same schedule, every year, and
there could be no argument for scheduling imbalance. Since expansion, that's not
the case.
Now, ACC teams will play
some conference opponents twice, and others just once. That leads to an
imbalance in schedule strength. Quite significant imbalances, in some instances.
Here is a list of the nine
ACC teams that are competing for an at-large berth in the NCAA tournament. The
table compares the average RPI rating of their ACC opponents.
Opponents'
RPI
Top 9 ACC Teams |
Team |
Ave.
Opp. RPI |
VT |
48.13 |
Duke |
49.06 |
Miami |
50.56 |
FSU |
53.75 |
Maryland |
55.81 |
Wake Forest |
58.81 |
UNC |
59.13 |
Boston College |
59.75 |
Clemson |
60.5 |
Using strictly the RPI
formula, and without taking into account home games or road games, Virginia Tech
had the toughest ACC schedule of any of the NCAA tournament teams, or NCAA
tournament bubble teams.
In fact, it's quite a big
difference when compared to the teams at the bottom of the list. Boston College
is another bubble team, and their opponents' average RPI is more than 10 spots
worse than Tech's opponents' RPI.
Let's dig a bit deeper and
compare the conference schedules for BC and the Hokies.
Schedule
Comparison, BC vs. VT |
Opp. |
RPI
Rank |
Games
vs. VT |
Games
vs. BC |
Duke |
2 |
2 |
1 |
UNC |
3 |
1 |
1 |
Wake Forest |
14 |
1 |
2 |
Florida State |
17 |
2 |
1 |
Clemson |
18 |
2 |
1 |
Miami |
52 |
1 |
2 |
Maryland |
56 |
1 |
1 |
Virginia Tech/BC |
63/56 |
2 |
2 |
NC State |
97 |
1 |
2 |
Virginia |
108 |
2 |
1 |
Georgia Tech |
150 |
1 |
2 |
Virginia Tech played three
of the top five teams in the conference twice each this year. The only top 5
team that BC played more than once was Wake Forest. The Hokies had to take on
Duke and Clemson twice, and they'll play Florida State for the second time on
Sunday.
Scroll down to the bottom
of the conference standings, and you'll see that BC played two of the bottom
three teams in the conference twice, with two meetings against both NC State and
Georgia Tech. The Hokies played the Wolfpack and Yellow Jackets just once each.
Tech is in a direct
competition with Boston College for an at-large berth, and the schedules in ACC
play obviously haven't been equal. However, the Eagles have their own argument
as well. They had just one meeting each with UNC and Duke, and they won both of
them. They even knocked off UNC in the Dean Dome. The Eagles also beat Florida
State in a recent game. In their six games against the Top 5 teams in the ACC,
BC is 3-3. That's a good mark.
Meanwhile, Virginia Tech
has played seven games against the Top 5 teams in the conference. In those seven
games, the Hokies have a record of just 2-5. Playing one more game, Tech has one
fewer win that Boston College. However, they'll get a chance to go 3-5 against
the Top 5 when they take on Florida State on Sunday.
Let's compare BC's overall
resume with Tech's.
Resume
Comparison |
Category |
BC |
VT |
Overall |
20-10 |
17-12 |
Conf. |
8-7 |
7-8 |
RPI |
54 |
63 |
SOS |
51 |
30 |
vs. Top 50 |
4-4 |
2-7 |
Last 12 |
7-5 |
5-7 |
The Hokies have played the
tougher schedule, but BC has the better record, a better RPI, a better record
against the Top 50 and they've been better in their last 12 games. Tech is hurt
by the fact that BC and Miami were both upset this past week. That knocked the
Eagles and 'Canes out of the Top 50, giving the Hokies two fewer Top 50 wins.
However, the Selection Committee would still view Tech's win over BC as a
quality win since the Eagles are still on the bubble.
Ultimately, the Hokies
still control their own fate. If they beat Florida State on Sunday, and then win
a game in the ACC tournament, they would be a near lock to make the NCAA
tournament. If they beat Florida State and then lose in the ACC tournament,
they'll be sweating on Selection Sunday. A loss to the 'Noles this weekend would
put them in the NIT, barring a number of upsets in the ACC Tournament.
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TechSideline.com
Updates From the Past Week
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Hokies
Primed for Success in 2010 Recruiting
March 6, 2009
Virginia
Tech just wrapped up their 2009 recruiting class about a month ago, but
it's never too early to talk about the upcoming class. The Hokies already
have a commitment from one of the top players in the state in the 2010
class, and they have an excellent chance of landing several others.
more
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VT
"Prospect Day" a Success
March 6, 2009
Although
there were no immediate commitments, Virginia Tech's "Prospect
Day" appears to have been a success. Tech hosted a number of top
rising senior prospects and even a few top rising juniors, including
Hermitage (Richmond, VA) LB Curtis Grant and South County (Lorton, VA) S/WR
Ronnie Van Dyke. There is no question that the primary focus, though, was
on a talented group of 2010 class visitors.
more
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Basketball
Game Preview: Virginia Tech at #24 Florida State
March 6, 2009
Virginia
Tech's entire basketball season is down to one game. If the Hokies don't
beat Florida State on Sunday, barring a miracle run in the ACC Tournament,
they will not make the NCAA tournament field of 65 teams. FSU beat Tech
67-65 in Blacksburg two weeks ago, and this will be Senior Day for star
guard Toney Douglas.
more
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Laiti
on the Recruiting Trail
March 5, 2009
Robinson
(Fairfax, VA) linebacker Brian Laiti, one of the most productive
defensive players in the state last season, is busy making recruiting
visits this winter and plans to make more this spring. Whether or not
he'll make a commitment prior to his senior season is unclear, though, as
his main focus is helping the Rams to a big year in 2009.
more
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Southern
WR/RB One of NC's Top Juniors
March 5, 2009
It
didn't take long for Southern (Durham, N.C.) star Tony Creecy, Jr.
to make a name for himself on the varsity football level. Creecy hauled in
24 receptions for 600 yards and five touchdowns for the varsity squad in
2006, which was his freshman year. The 5-11, 195-pound wide
receiver/running back improved upon those numbers in each of the next two
seasons and now finds himself as one of the most highly recruited juniors
in the state of North Carolina.
more
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Thoughts
From the UNC Game
March 5, 2009
Sitting
in Cassell Coliseum last night and watching the Hokies drop another close
game put a few thoughts into my head. Some are specific to last night's
game, while others seem to be developing trends. Finally, though I'd
prefer to stay away from the issue of fan support when the Hokies play UNC
in Cassell, I just can't.
more
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South
County Sophomore has VT Offer
March 5, 2009
South
County (Lorton, VA) will have more than one sure-fire Division 1A prospect
on its roster in the 2009 season. One is a rising senior, while the other
a rising junior. At this point, Virginia Tech has only offered the latter.
Safety/wide receiver Ronnie Van Dyke is not allowed to receive
official offers until the beginning of his junior year, but the Hokies
recently became the first program to verbally offer the versatile
standout.
more
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Hokies
Hang Tough, but Fall to #2 UNC
March 5, 2009
For
the second game in a row, Virginia Tech trailed at halftime only to come
back and tie the game in the second half. For the second game in a row,
they came up short in the end. This time it came against #2 UNC 86-78, and
the loss makes this Sunday's game at Florida State a must-win if the
Hokies want to make the NCAA tournament. Tech fell to 17-12 overall and
7-8 in the ACC with the loss.
more
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Southern
CB Impressed with Tech
March 4, 2009
5-11,
170-pound A.J. Marshall, a standout cornerback recruit out of
Southern High School (Durham, N.C.), has followed Virginia Tech's football
program since his freshman year in high school. He especially noticed the
play of the Virginia Tech secondary.
more
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Basketball
Game Preview: #2 UNC at Virginia Tech
March 4, 2009
The
Hokies will face their biggest challenge of the year on Wednesday when #2
North Carolina invades Cassell Coliseum. The Tar Heels are the most
talented team in the ACC, and they are competing for the #1 overall seed
in the NCAA tournament. Led by Tyler Hansbrough and Ty Lawson, the Heels
are an offensive juggernaut, and the Hokies will have to keep the game
low-scoring to have a chance.
more
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Farris
Awaits First Offer
March 4, 2009
Rockbridge
County (Lexington, VA) junior offensive lineman Caleb Farris
attended Virginia Tech's prospect day last Saturday and he had an
opportunity to speak with head coach Frank Beamer. The 6-4 1/2, 300-pound
junior, who graded out at 92-percent as an offensive tackle last season as
a junior, has yet to pick up a Division 1A offer but continues to draw
interest from a number of Division 1A programs, including Virginia Tech.
more
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Hokie
Hotline Notes for 3/2/09
March 3, 2009
On
Monday night's Hokie Hotline, Coach Greenberg discussed the recent games
against Clemson and Duke. He also discussed the progress of VT signees
Erick Green and Cadarian Raines, and gave some information on next
season's out-of-conference schedule.
more
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Acree
Firm in his Commitment to VT
March 3, 2009
6-6,
310-pound defensive tackle Nick Acree, who has been committed to
Virginia Tech since last spring, has indicated throughout that he would
take all five official visits despite being solid in his decision.
Yesterday, the state of Virginia star revealed what is very good news as
far as Virginia Tech is concerned.
more
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Around
the ACC: March 2, 2009
March 2, 2009
Things
are starting to clear up in the ACC. Five teams are locks for the NCAA
tournament, one more is very close to being a lock, and three others are
fighting for their postseason lives. March Madness is here, and teams are
leaving everything on the court.
more
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Deep
Run OL Discusses VT Junior Day
March 2, 2009
Deep
Run (Glen Allen, VA) offensive tackle Conner Davis, one of the top
offensive line recruits in the state of Virginia, attended Virginia Tech's
junior day on Saturday. The 6-5, 255-pound junior discussed the trip,
which comes two weeks after he attended a junior day at the University of
Virginia.
more
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Henderson
Comes Away Impressed by VT
March 2, 2009
About
a week after scoring an offer from Virginia Tech, Southeast Raleigh
(Raleigh, N.C.) quarterback Gabe Henderson was in Blacksburg to
take a closer look at the Tech program. The 6-1, 190-pound junior signal
caller came away impressed by the Saturday junior day experience but was
even more excited about Virginia Tech's quarterback situation.
more
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Hokies
Struggle on O Against Duke
March 2, 2009
I
was intrigued by the fact that a lot of the commentary on Duke's victory
over VT centered upon Virginia Tech's defensive failures. Tech coach Seth
Greenberg, columnist Aaron McFarling of the Roanoke Times, and TV analyst
Jimmy Dykes spent a lot of time talking about how the Hokies failed to
execute their scouting reports and contain Duke's Gerald Henderson and
Kyle Singler. I would counter that Tech's difficulties on offense were far
more responsible for the defeat than defensive lapses.
more |
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