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  TSLMail #370- February 27, 2009    
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 Tech Sports News

Statistically Speaking, Hokies are Right Where they Should Be
by Chris Coleman, TechSideline.com

With just three games remaining in the regular season, Virginia Tech sits in the middle of the pack in the ACC standings. It's unknown how many wins it will take to get the Hokies into the NCAA tournament, but it will definitely take at least one.

Statistically speaking, Virginia Tech is sitting about where they should be in the ACC standings. When you take 10 important team statistical categories and average the rankings for each team, the Hokies are in the middle of the pack.

The categories are: field goal percentage, field goal percentage defense, three-point percentage, three-point percentage defense, free throw percentage, rebounding margin, turnover margin, assists/turnover ratio, scoring offense and scoring defense. Virginia Tech's averages 6.7 when you run their rankings in those 10 categories.

The ACC, Standings vs. Statistics

Team Stats 
Average
Stats 
Rank
Actual 
Standings
Difference

UNC

4.2 1 1 0

Duke

4.9 2 2 0

Wake Forest

5.2 3 3 0

Clemson

5.3 4 3 +1

BC

5.7 5 6 -1

FSU

6 6 3 +3

Miami

6 6 9 -3

Virginia Tech

6.7 8 7 +1

NC State

7.4 9 10 -1

Maryland

8.6 10 8 +2

Georgia Tech

8.6 10 12 -2

Virginia

9.2 12 11 +1

 

For the most part, teams are very close in the actual standings to their statistical ranking. In fact, UNC, Duke and Wake Forest sit 1-3 in the statistical rankings, and they rank 1-3 in the actual standings. Clemson is tied with Wake Forest for third in the conference, and their statistical ranking is fourth in the conference, just behind Wake.

Florida State is the most overachieving team in the ACC, when you compare actual standings to stats rankings. The 'Noles are middle-of-the-pack statistically, but they are tied with Clemson and Wake Forest for third place in the standings. Leonard Hamilton is a strong candidate for ACC Coach of the Year. However, with three games remaining, the 'Noles could still finish in the middle of the conference standings.

Gary Williams of Maryland should perhaps be the top candidate for ACC Coach of the Year, depending on how the Terps finish. Statistically, Maryland is a very bad basketball team. They are at the bottom of the conference, along with Georgia Tech and Virginia, who have combined for just four ACC wins. The Terps are even a good distance behind NC State, statistically.

Despite all of that, Maryland is a bubble team that still stands an outside shot of making the NCAA tournament. Gary Williams knows how to get wins, even if his team looks ugly doing it.

The team that has struggled the most is Miami. The 'Canes are middle-of-the-pack in the statistics, tied with Florida State, and ahead of Virginia Tech. However, they are just 6-8 in ACC play.

The difference in being ninth in the ACC (Miami) and third (Florida State) is close games. Miami has lost three ACC overtime games, and two others by five points or less. Meanwhile, Florida State has won an overtime game against Maryland, and three other games by four points or less. The 'Noles have been more successful in close games than Miami.

Virginia Tech is eighth in the conference statistically, and they rank seventh in the actual standings. They are a full game ahead of the Maryland Terrapins. The Hokies' field goal percentage has been slipping a bit lately, but their field goal percentage defense has been getting better. As usual, Tech is in the top half of the conference in turnover margin.

Each team in the ACC has two or three games remaining, so those rankings still have a chance to change. However, they are a pretty good indicator of how things are going to shake out.

 

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   TechSideline.com Updates From the Past Week
2009 Pre-Spring Depth Charts: The Defense
February 27, 2009
Virginia Tech returns a lot of quality players on the defensive side of the ball. However, there are still major questions heading into the spring. Who will start at the two vacated inside linebacker spots, and how will the depth look at defensive end? Those questions will begin to be answered in a little over a month.
more

Crunching Stats from VT-Clemson
February 26, 2009
Last night's Hokies-Tigers matchup was a typical gut-wrencher. I always find myself thinking about stats during a basketball game, and the little things that separate a win from a loss. Here's a closer look at the key stats from last night's game.
more

2009 Pre-Spring Depth Charts: The Offense
February 26, 2009
Virginia Tech will begin spring football practice on April 1. Though the Hokies are expected to be very good in 2009, there are still major issues on both sides of the ball that need to be addressed. Today we'll take a look at the offense, which has question marks at quarterback behind Tyrod Taylor, as well as depth on the interior of the offensive line.
more

Three New Offers for McCray
February 26, 2009
Brookville (Lynchburg, VA) defensive end/tight end Zack McCray says that his recruitment "has gotten a lot busier" since Signing Day 2009. Interest from across the country has increased in the 6-5, 235-pound junior, who recently added three official offers - including two from the SEC - to bring his official offer total to 11.
more

Hokies Get Revenge on Clemson
February 26, 2009
With their backs against the wall, Virginia Tech came up with a huge 80-77 victory at #12 Clemson on Wednesday night. The win puts the Hokies back into the NCAA tournament picture. Tech moved to 17-10 overall, with a 7-6 mark in ACC play. Clemson dropped to 22-5 and 8-5.
more

TSL Audio: The Jerry Miller Show, 2/23/09
February 25, 2009

On Monday, Chris Coleman and Jerry Miller talked about Virginia Tech's close loss to Florida State, and what it will take for the Hokies to get an invite to the NCAA tournament.(MP3 format, approx. 3.7 MB, approx. 13 minutes long).
The Jerry Miller Show appears on The Sports Addict Radio Network every afternoon from 1:00-3:00 pm in Blacksburg (1430 AM), Charlottesville (840 AM), and Bluefield (1050 AM), and from 2:00-4:00 in Martinsville (1160 AM).
more

Hopkins a Talented Athlete at DL
February 25, 2009
Highland Springs (VA) standout Derrick Hopkins is well known for his gridiron talents, but these days the 6-0, 295-pound defensive tackle prospect is showing off his talents on the hard court. Hopkins, a junior, scored 11 points and hauled in eight rebounds to help the Springers varsity basketball squad to a win over region quarterfinal win over Meadowbrook and a Central Region semifinal showdown against John Marshall.
more

Basketball Game Preview: Virginia Tech at #12 Clemson
February 25, 2009
Losers of three consecutive games, Virginia Tech will look to get back to their winning ways when they take on Clemson in Littlejohn Coliseum on Wednesday night. If there was any point in the Seth Greenberg era when the Hokies needed a big win, this is it. Unfortunately, it won't be easy. The Tigers are ranked as high as #12 in the national polls and #8 in the RPI.
more

The Best in the Business
February 24, 2009
Talk to any Hokie fan, or any knowledgeable follower of college football, and they know that Bud Foster is one of the best defensive coordinators in the business. Is he the best? We dug into the numbers and now have statistical proof: In the last decade, Bud Foster is the best defensive coordinator in college football. And it's not close.
more

Westfield's Barfield Realizes Dream
February 24, 2009
Tyler Barfield is another high quality student-athlete out of a high quality high school football program to accept a recruited walk-on spot at Virginia Tech. The 6-2, 290-pound offensive lineman, a standout at Westfield High School (Chantilly, VA), turned down an official scholarship offer from Northeastern in favor of walking on to Virginia Tech.
more

Hokie Hotline Notes for 2/23/09
February 24, 2009
On Monday night, Seth Greenberg talked about the last four games of the season and what they could do for Tech's NCAA tournament chances. He also talked about Jeff Allen, and discussed the Florida State game.
more

First Colonial Safety Boasts VT Offer
February 23, 2009
For First Colonial (Virginia Beach, VA) safety/wide receiver prospect Nick Dew, the recruiting process has been an "exhilarating" experience. For quite some time, the junior's dream has been to earn a scholarship to play football on the Division 1A level and that dream was realized earlier this month.
more

Around the ACC: February 23rd, 2009
February 23, 2009
The top half of the ACC is starting to separate itself from the bottom half. It looks like the four first round byes for the ACC Tournament are up for grabs amongst five different teams. Meanwhile, two teams who spent the first half of the season near the bottom of the standings are making a move up, while another team that looked NCAA tournament bound is dropping like a rock.
more

Walk-On Quarterback Looks to Make His Mark
February 23, 2009
Some are wondering if Will Cole can play big-time ball at the D-1 level. Why were most of his offers and interest from primarily Division 1-AA or lower level schools? Everyone is worried about the Pivot (QB) future at Virginia Tech with prominent whiffs on Boyd and Newsome once the Tyrod Taylor era draws to a close.
more
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