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   Welcome to TSLMail #264 - Friday, February 2, 2007    
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   Tech Sports News


Have You Checked Kroger®'s Store Locator and Weekly Specials Web Page?

TSL is proud to have Kroger® as a sponsor. Kroger® has been sponsoring Hokie athletics for years and has become a permanent fixture in VT athletics (whenever someone says, "You know what Coach Beamer says" on the message boards, someone else ALWAYS responds with, "Get your tailgate supplies at Kroger®!")

Kroger®'s latest TSL ads, the ones that start out with the notation "Local Specials", are very cool -- when you click them, it takes you to a store locator, and once you locate a Kroger® store from the list, it loads your latest weekly specials. You can browse them all, sort them by category, etc.

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Hokie Women Have a Shot at the NCAA Tourney

by Will Stewart, TechSideline.com

On November 28th, the Virginia Tech women's basketball team was humiliated at home by William & Mary, losing 64-41. The Tribe slapped a 25-5 run on the Hokies in the first half, led 34-17 at the break, and never looked back. With the loss, the Hokies fell to 4-4 on the year. They had already dropped their season opener to Radford 67-60, were drubbed at one point by LSU 70-40, and appeared to be headed for a terrible season.

The Hokies were coming off a 21-10 record and their 7th NCAA tournament invitation in the last nine years, but they had graduated four seniors off that team: Dawn Chriss, Megan Finnerty, and longtime starters and standouts Carrie Mason and Kerri Gardin. The team was expected to take a big dip, but losing at home to both Radford and William & Mary painted a gloomy picture of what was to come.

Since that loss to W&M though, the Hokies have quietly gone 10-5 and have improved their record to 14-9 overall, and a respectable 4-4 in the ACC (good for seventh place in the ACC standings).

There's a tale-within-a-tale in that 10-5 stretch. Four of the five losses have come to outstanding teams, including home and road losses to #1 Duke, a road loss to #2 UNC, and a road loss to Florida State, a 17-5 team that is 6-1 in the league and all alone in third place. The only bad loss since the W&M loss was a road defeat at UAB on December 21st. The Blazers are 13-9 overall, 7-2 in Conference USA (first place), and #133 in the RPI.

The question becomes, after such a terrible start, can Virginia Tech's women still make the NCAA tournament? They can, but they've got some work to do. First, their RPI isn't nearly good enough yet. It has improved greatly, but still stands at #68, nowhere near at-large territory.

Looking at the RPI, the Hokies have several bad losses, at home to #168 Radford and #118 William & Mary, and on the road to #133 UAB. Their other losses have come to teams in the top 51 of the RPI.

The problem is, the Hokies have no quality RPI wins. They only have four wins against top-100 RPI teams: West Virginia (#60), Charlotte (#77), at UNC-G (#82), and at Virginia (#72). None of those wins are over top-50 RPI teams, which is something you need when your own RPI is only 68.

The remainder of the season looks like a good opportunity to improve the record, but not to snare many quality wins. VT has seven games left:

Date Opponent Opp. Record Opp. RPI
2/3 Morehead St. 12-10 (11-3) 167
2/5 Georgia Tech 14-8 (5-3) 49
2/8 At Maryland 21-3 (5-3) 3
2/11 At Clemson 10-12 (2-5) 120
2/15 Virginia 12-9 (2-5) 72
2/18 N.C. State 16-7 (5-3) 41
2/23 At Boston College 10-11 (1-7) 126


Looking at things optimistically, the Hokies can go 6-1 over that seven-game stretch (assume a loss at Maryland and wins everywhere else), leaving them at 20-10 overall, 9-5 in the ACC. That ACC record would put the Hokies squarely in the upper half of the league, as high as fifth place, behind UNC, Duke, Maryland, and FSU.

Would that 6-1 season-ending streak be good enough? The ACC had seven NCAA bids last year, including a bid to VT, who finished #7 in the league at 6-8, 20-9 overall. That Hokie team had four wins over top-50 RPI teams (at season's end), but more importantly, it had an outstanding RPI of 23 and a strength of schedule rating of 18.

Here's a comparison between last year's team and this year's team, assuming the Hokies finish 6-1 down the stretch (a big assumption), and assuming RPIs stay roughly the same for future opponents:

Season Record* RPI Top 50
Wins
Bad Losses
(100+ RPI)
2005-06 20-9 (7-9) 23 4 1
2006-07 20-10 (9-5) ?? 2 3
* The 2005-06 record includes ACC tournament games;
the 2006-07 record is a projection and does not include
ACC tourney games.


For Tech's women to receive an at-large bid, the following is probably necessary:

  • Their RPI would have to improve drastically, reaching at least the low 40s from its current 68. That type of movement is hard to accomplish this time of year.
  • A victory at Maryland (assumed a loss in this analysis) would benefit VT greatly and give a big boost to their RPI.
  • Going 8-2 over the last ten games (as projected here), or even 9-1 with a win over Maryland, would look very good in the selection committee's eyes.
  • Winning at least one game in the ACC Tournament, as they did last year, or even two, would be a big boost.

With their early losses, particularly to Radford and William & Mary at home, the Tech women dug themselves a huge hole that is hard to climb out of. If they don't make the NCAA tourney, they have a very good shot at making the WNIT, and if they are able to achieve another 20-win season, it would be their ninth 20-win campaign in the last ten years.

If you look at the statistics, it's hard to figure out how Tech's women have done as well as they have. The Hokies rank 6th to 9th in every team statistical category in the ACC, except for 3-point shooting percentage and 3-point percentage defense, where they come up dead last.

In individual statistics, only seniors Kirby Copeland and Nare Diawara show up in the ACC stats:

  • Copeland: 10th in the league in scoring at 14.5 ppg; 4th in assists at 5.05; 10th in steals at 2.2.
  • Diawara: 19th in scoring at 12.6 ppg; 6th in rebounding at 8.6 rpg; 8th in blocks at 1.6.

Amber Hall is 11th in blocks at 1.1 per game, but other than that, Copeland and Diawara are the only Hokies listed.

Head coach Beth Dunkenberger and her players have done a good job turning around a season that got off to a bad start. Now in her third year at Tech, Dunkenberger has during her time taken a team of players that were recruited by Bonnie Henrickson to play a half-court style of basketball in the Big East, and turned them into a competitive ACC team. With seven regular-season games left, they've got a chance for the NCAA tournament, albeit a slim one.

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   TechSideline.com Updates From the Past Week

Countdown to Signing Day: Final '07 Edition

February 2, 2007
There is less than a week until the most exciting day in college football recruiting, Signing Day. This is the final edition of Countdown to Signing Day for the 2007 class, a class that pretty much came together for Virginia Tech in two months time last summer.
more

Class of '08 Preview: Deep Run's Talented Duo
February 1, 2007
Deep Run High School's (Glen Allen, VA) varsity football squad enjoyed a dream season in 2006, attaining feats including a Colonial district title, an undefeated regular season and a (Division 5) Central Region championship. Two of its most talented juniors will return next season in hopes of duplicating, and perhaps adding to, the success.
more

Around the ACC: February 1st, 2007
February 1, 2007
The North Carolina Tar Heels, the highest-ranked and best team in the conference, ascended this past week to the number one spot in the ACC standings, thanks to losses by Boston College and Virginia Tech. The league has separated itself into two groups in the standings, heading into tonight's Duke vs. Virginia game: five teams have one or two losses in the league, while the other seven teams have four losses or more. All that and more in this week's installment of "Around the ACC."
more

The Latest on Will Alvarez
February 1, 2007
6-5, 310-pound Will Alvarez made an official visit to Virginia Tech last weekend. The Hylton (Woodbridge, VA) star, an AP and VHSCA first-team all-state performer his senior year, also was to receive some important news this week. TechSideline.com checked back in with Hylton head coach Lou Sorrentino for the latest.
more

Flat Hokies Fall to NC State 70-59
February 1, 2007
#16 Virginia Tech, undefeated at home and fresh off two road wins, came out flat against NC State and dropped their first home contest of the season 70-59 on Wednesday night. The Hokies drop to 16-6 overall and 6-2 in the ACC, relinquishing their hold on the top spot in the conference standings. NC State improves to 12-8 and 2-5 in conference play.
more

Okoli Decision by Friday
January 31, 2007
Salem (Virginia Beach, VA) defensive lineman Chima Okoli will have a decision by Friday. The 6-5, 270-pound prospect is down to Penn State and Virginia Tech and is looking forward to choosing one of those programs in the coming days.
more

TSL Recruiting Report from "SportsBeat With Mike Harris", for 1/29/07
January 31, 2007
On Monday night's show, TSL recruiting analyst Chris Horne talked with Mike Harris about VT recruiting target Chima Okoli, VT commitment Collin Carroll, UVa commitment Jared Green, and various other recruiting topics (MP3 format, compatible with Windows Media Player and MP3 players, 2.4 MB, 20:31).
more

Delaney Leading Towson to Successful Season
January 31, 2007
Last night, 6-3, 170-pound shooting guard Malcolm Delaney did what he has consistently done throughout the 2006/2007 season, and that is to help Towson Catholic (MD) to a victory. The Virginia Tech signee poured in 21 points in the 91-61 win over Calvert Hall, Towson Catholic's 20th win of the season.
more

Basketball Game Preview: #16 Virginia Tech vs. N.C. State
January 31, 2007
The #16 Hokies look to continue their winning ways when the NC State Wolfpack visit Cassell Coliseum on Wednesday night. With a win over NC State, Virginia Tech will keep their spot atop the ACC standings, and it would also give them a win over every single ACC school from the state of North Carolina this season. Those are serious bragging rights, and it's not something any of us imagined just a few short years ago.
more

Class of '08 Preview: Spotsylvania
January 30, 2007
Continuing on with our preview of the 2008 recruiting class, we take a look at some of the potential prospects coming out of Spotsylvania High School (VA). Head coach Myron Matthias boasts several prospects he feels could garner college attention. Included among the list is a 6-5, 280-pound offensive lineman.
more

Hokie Hotline Notes for 1/29/07
January 30, 2007
Seth Greenberg was the Hokie Hotline guest Monday night, and he talked about the Georgia Tech win and the upcoming NC State game. Greenberg also discussed the productivity of his bench and the importance of taking games one a time as the Hokies work towards the NCAA tournament.
more

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment #24
January 29, 2007
Last fall, Virginia Tech first began showing interest in a center/long snapper prospect out of Edina High School in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Hokies continued to show interest until last Monday, when the staff extended an offer to the prospect. Today, Tech has received its 24th commitment of the 2007 recruiting class.
more

Unlikely First-Place Hokies Putting Together Special Season
January 29, 2007
Two dates seem like a long time ago now: December 3rd, the day the Hokie basketball team lost to GW 63-62 and fell to 4-3; and December 30th, the day they dropped an uninspired, inexplicable 59-58 decision to Marshall. Those days are fading quickly into the rear view mirror, as Virginia Tech takes a Monday without basketball to admire itself in an unusual position: first place in the ACC.
more

Hokies Move Up in the Polls
January 29, 2007
Virginia Tech came up with two more victories this past week, both on the road in difficult situations. Those wins enabled them to move up in the latest set of rankings released on Monday. The Hokies are #18 in the ESPN/USA Today Coaches' Poll and #16 in the A.P. Poll.
Also: Dowdell Honored by ACC, Vitale.
more

Key Week for Alvarez
January 29, 2007
One of two Virginia Tech commitments in Blacksburg on official visits this past weekend, 6-5, 310-pound Hylton (Woodbridge, VA) offensive line prospect Will Alvarez is one of Virginia Tech's biggest recruits - literally and figuratively. More importantly than the official visit, however, is what news will come this week.
more

Decision Coming Soon for Okoli?
January 29, 2007
Chima Okoli has two favorite schools right now and could have a decision soon. One of the fastest rising prospects in recent months, the 6-5, 270-pound Salem (Virginia Beach, VA) standout made what could be his final official visit this past weekend - and it was to one of his two favorites.
more

Roberts Enjoys Visit to VT
January 29, 2007
Three-star offensive lineman Desmond Roberts certainly was impressed with his official visit to Virginia Tech this past weekend. The Hokies are in this race, but will the official visit experience be enough to sway the talented Northampton (Gaston, N.C.) recruit from his original commitment to N.C. State?
more

Hokies Swat Yellow Jackets 73-65
January 28, 2007
#23 Virginia Tech improved their ACC road record to 3-1 following a 73-65 victory over Georgia Tech in Atlanta on Sunday afternoon. The Hokies are 16-5 overall and 6-1 in the ACC. With Boston College's loss at Duke on Sunday, Virginia Tech is all alone in first place in the ACC. Georgia Tech drops to 13-7 overall and 2-5 in ACC play. It was the Yellow Jackets' first home loss of the season.
more

Basketball Game Preview: #23 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech
January 26, 2007
A road game against a talented team that is desperate for a win. That will be the situation for the #23 Hokies when they travel to Atlanta to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Sunday afternoon. Virginia Tech is 2-1 against Georgia Tech since joining the ACC, including a 70-69 win in Alexander Memorial Coliseum two years ago. But can they repeat that feat this weekend?
more

Class of '08: First Colonial's Gregory One to Watch
January 26, 2007
In talking to several high school coaches from Virginia Beach regarding some of the top juniors in the area, one name that kept coming up was First Colonial running back Tony Gregory. In talking to First Colonial head coach Jae Clark, expect Gregory, who turned in a solid junior season, to get a whole lot more touches in 2007.
more
 
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