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|Welcome to TSLMail #154 - Friday, December 10, 2004||
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When I was a kid, one of my favorite comic books was a series by Marvel Comics called "What If?" Each issue they would ask a different question, like "What if Spider-man joined the Fantastic Four?" or "What if the world knew Daredevil was blind?" and then write a "giant-sized" comic based on that premise.
So I got to thinking, "What if Miami and VT weren't in the ACC football conference this year?" What would the standings look like?
First, let's take a look at this year's standings -- I'll forgive you if you get lost and stare at the Hokies in first place for a while. (Take all the time you need.)
Now, what if the Hokies and Canes weren't in the ACC? What would the standings look like?
If you take Miami and VT out of the mix and look at the ACC as a 9-team conference by subtracting out games involving those two teams, you don't wind up with a full conference schedule or regular-season schedule for anyone in the league. So you have to project the outcomes of games unplayed, always a risky proposition.
Still, it's an interesting exercise, and if you do it, what you're probably really doing is looking at what the conference standings may have been late in the season, with 1 or 2 games left to go for everyone in the conference. Then you fill in the blanks.
If the projections shown in the table panned out as written -- UNC beating Clemson and GT beating Wake are the shakiest, in my opinion -- then the ACC would only have four teams qualifying for six bowls, leaving the Continental Tire and MPC Computer Bowls with no ACC team.
Figuring out who among FSU and UVa would go to the BCS bowl is also iffy, because UVa might actually win the ACC's bid to a BCS bowl, despite losing to FSU. The ACC's two-team tiebreaker essentially says that if Team A (FSU) beats Team B (UVa), then FSU gets the BCS bid, unless UVa's BCS ranking is five places higher than FSU's. There are other provisions, as you can see here in an excerpt from the ACC's web site for tiebreaking procedures:
It can make your brain hurt to try to figure out -- given that FSU had beaten UVa -- how the BCS rankings of those two teams would have come out. Virginia would have suffered no other losses, but FSU was beaten by Florida late in the season, and that may have made the Noles wind up too low in the BCS, and UVa might have gone to the BCS bowl, instead. I like Virginia's odds, because the Cavaliers finished 18th in the BCS this season, just two spots behind #16 FSU. If you subtract out two losses for UVa and one loss for FSU, the Cavaliers might have caught the Seminoles.
Without Miami and VT in the conference, FSU and Virginia were clearly the class of the ACC. FSU stumbled against Maryland, but without Miami and VT, there's no way that UNC, GT, Maryland et al could have challenged FSU and UVa. It would have been a two-horse race.
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|TechSideline.com Updates From the Past Week|
Randall Wins Dudley Award
Storm Takes Down Hokies, 75-65
Revisiting the Keys: Miami
Hotline Notes for 12/6/04
Tigers Set for the Sugar Bowl
Miami Game Analysis
Drop Shocker to VMI, 72-68
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