Beerman's Picks: Week One
by Ben Shapiro, 8/28/03
Each week this season, I will be posting a column previewing
interesting upcoming matchups in the Big East, the ACC, and college football
in general. All rankings are from the
ESPN/USA Today Coaches Poll .
I don't pick winners (that's too easy), I pick against
the spread .
Television information comes from
here .
All picks are for entertainment purposes only.
GAMES OF THURSDAY, AUGUST
28:
7 :30
pm EST
ESPN
#3 Miami
0-0 (0-0 Big East)
+28
Louisiana Tech
0-0 (0-0 WAC)
The fact that we're
going with them notwithstanding, in my heart of hearts, Miami will
always be known as the "Defecting School Defendant".
Pick: LaTech
7:30 pm EST
Fox Sports Net
#14 Maryland
0-0 (0-0 ACC)
+8.5
Northern Illinois
0-0 (0-0 MAC)
Miami schmiami.
THIS is the game to watch on Thursday night.The man's name is
Michael
Turner , and he's going to give the Terrapins headaches all day.
He's one of the top running backs in the nation, and he plays for
lowly NIU. But NIU is expected to compete for the MAC crown
this year, and that means Friedgen better not be looking too far
ahead...
Pick: UMuD
GAMES OF SATURDAY, AUGUST
30:
7:00 pm EST
ABC
North Texas
0-0 (0-0 Sun Belt)
-32.5
#1 Oklahoma
0-0 (0-0 Big XII)
North Texas has a better
defense than half the teams in the Big XII. They should win
the Sun Belt with relative ease. Not that this makes them
a threat to Oklahoma or anything, but the Sooners will have some
issues on the offensive side of the ball this year. I'd be
a little surprised to see OU even hang 30 on the Mean Green, let
alone beat them by that much.
Pick: UNT
8:00 pm EST
ABC
#19 Washington
0-0 (0-0 Pac 10)
-9
#2 Ohio State
0-0 (0-0 Big 10)
So Clarett's out for
six, and rumors about Gamble abound. Life's tough when you've
got that trophy to defend...
I have no idea if Kevin Gilberston is
a good coach or not, but losing Neuheisel has to have been a distraction.
You'll hear "Pickett to Williams for six!" called at least a dozen
times this year, but playing at the shoe is a tough debut for any
coach. Too much, too soon.
Pick: UDub
6:00 pm EST
CBS
#8 USC - West
0-0 (0-0 Pac 10)
-3.5
#6 Auburn
0-0 (0-0 SEC)
The Sporting News has
Auburn picked as their #1. No small praise indeed! All
the talk is of their tailbacks. They've got a lot of them,
but only one can tote the rock at a time. And while Tuberville
is a fine coach, he gets a little too fancy sometimes, and it comes
back to bite him. Carson Palmer
may be gone, but he's not the reason the Trojans won 11 games last
year. Nope, that was their defense. USC didn't allow
a single 100-yard rusher last year. Wow.
Strength vs. strength. As it
should be. Strap it on ladies, it's clobberin' time!
Pick: USC
12:00 pm EST
ABC
#9 Georgia
0-0 (0-0 SEC)
+2.5
Clemson
0-0 (0-0 ACC)
Georgia is another SEC
favorite this year, but a lot hinges on an offensive line that has
been rebuilt virtually from scratch.
Clemson needs this win. OK, Clemson
doesn't, but Bowden the Younger probably does. Mediocrity
isn't what the boosters paid for, and it may take 9 or 10 wins to
keep the job for 2004. But the cold hard truth is that the
only thing "need" gets you is government cheese, and it sure as
heck doesn't win ball games. I think Tommy's sunk...
Late update: The line is moving ...
in Clemson's favor! Oy, Gawgia isn't getting a lot of respect
for a top-10 team!
Pick: UGA
3:00 pm EST
ESPN2
Fresno State
0-0 (0-0 WAC)
-20.5
#16 Tennessee
0-0 (0-0 SEC)
Fresno State continues
their recent tradition of taking on the best that they can find
outside of the WAC. This year, in addition to Tennessee, they
face Oregon State and Oklahoma. That's an unsafe course at
any speed. Tennessee's been
sliding a bit. I mean they're still great, but a smackdown
at the hands of Maryland in last year's bowl game has affixed the
label "Also Ran" firmly to Casey Clausen's forehead.
Pick: UT
7:00 pm EST
Dook
0-0 (0-0 ACC)
-16
#17 Wahoo State
0-0 (0-0 ACC)
Dook's actually being
picked to win a few ball games this year. They're returning
20 starters, but really all that means is that they've got 20 of
the same yahoos that made Blue Devil fans long for nothing more
than Midnight Madness. Virginia?
Yeah, we all know abut them. Oh the hype! For a head
coach, AlGroh makes a great recruiting coordinator. I'll certainly
give him that. But somebody wake me up when they start winning
more of the big games, ok?
Pick: UVA
12:00 pm EST
ESPN
#20 Wisconsin
0-0 (0-0 Big 10)
+3
West Virginia
0-0 (0-0 Big East)
Wisconsin seems to run
in cycles, and this should be an "up" year for them. A somewhat
favorable B-10 schedule (read: no Michigan) could have them challenging
for a Rose Bowl berth if they can get the defense in order.
WVU surprised a lot of people last year,
and there's no reason to expect them to drop off too much in 2003.
Quincy Wilson's the man now, and he's going to run through a lot
of defensive lines this year.
Pick: Whisky
3:30 pm EST
ABC
#24 Oklahoma State
0-0 (0-0 Big XII)
-7.5
Nebraska
0-0 (0-0 Big XII)
The four horsemen ride
anew. The sun shines bright and scorches the Earth with fire.
Earthquakes, plagues, and Oklahoma State coming in to Lincoln as
the higher ranked team. Truly,
we live in remarkable times.
Pick: Nebraska
3:30 pm EST
ESPN +
Temple
0-0 (0-0 Big East)
-24
Penn State
0-0 (0-0 Big 10)
See, what we've got
here is the battle for runner-up in Pennsylvania :)
Pick: PSU
7:00 pm EST
Buffalo
0-0 (0-0 MAC)
-12
RUTSgers
0-0 (0-0 Big East)
No longer will we have
to befoul our rooting guides with talk of Rutgers trying to avoid
humiliation at the hands of yet another non-conference patsy.
No sir. Now that we've got Dook to push around!
Pick: RU
OTHER TOP 25 & BIG EAST
GAMES:
#4 Texas (-29) vs.
New Mexico State
#5 Kansas State (-37) vs. Troy State
#7 Michigan (-33.5) vs. Central Michigan
#11 Florida State (-16.5) @ North Carolina
#13 N.C. State (nl) vs. I-AA Western Carolina
#15 LSU (-35) vs. Louisiana-Monroe
#21 Florida (-24.5) vs. San Jose State
#25 Iowa (-11) vs. Miami (OH)
Fredo (-12.5) vs. Weak Forest
GAMES OF SUNDAY, AUGUST
31:
3:00 pm EST
ESPN
Central Florida
0-0 (0-0 MAC)
-20
#10 Virginia Tech
0-0 (0-0 Big East)
Largest moving line
I've seen this week. Started as low as 16.5, and it's moved
about half a point per day. Lotsa gambling Hokies out there,
and I love yah for it! Look,
there's nothing I can tell you about this game that you don't already
know. The
VT Hokie News links give you all the down and all the dirty
that you need.
So what am I here for? The
tailgate! I like the 3:00 game. I do. I think
it may actually be the best time slot. I don't like the nooner.
I just don't. It's too early. I hate having to make
the choice between staying out the night before and waking up early
to pregame. And I never know what to do with myself immediately
after the game is over.
Now the night game is good.
The night game is special ... maybe TOO good. The eight hour
tailgate that ensues brings about a level of craziness that should
be reserved for only the biggest of big games. I like it,
but no more than once or twice a season.
The 3:00 game tho, it's niiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiice.
Plenty of time to get groovy in the Burg the night before, and still
make it out in the AM in time for 4-5 hours of top drawer tailgate
entertainment. AND, there's the added bonus that the game
will end at the perfect time. Go hit Mike's for some burgers,
and roll on down Main Street for the postgame festivities
Yes siree, I like the 3:00 game :)
Oh the game itself? 45-17 ...
book it!
Pick: VT
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