Beerman's Picks
by Ben Shapiro, 9/26/02
Each week this season, I will be posting
a column previewing the upcoming weekend's Big East and Top-25 match-ups.
All rankings are from the
ESPN/USA Today Coaches Poll . I don't pick winners (that's too easy),
I pick against
the spread .
All picks are for entertainment purposes only.
Last Week: A fun road trip.
Without question the best time I've ever had at an away game.
I can't say enough about the good folks down there in College Station.
Had an absolute blast!
This Week: The Top 25 is awash
with mediocre games. Where
exactly is Kalamazoo, anyway? If you've done the Hokie tour for
the last month, maybe it's time to get in some quality time with your
significant other, mow that lawn, or just lie around and be lazy for
an entire weekend. Mmmm .... lazy ....
Not in Action: #1 Miami (FL),
#8 Oregon, #10 Notre Dame, #16 Wisconsin, #17 Kansas State.
Thursday, September
26
7:30 pm EST
ESPN
-15
Florida State (#4)
4-0 (Away: 2-0)
Louiseville
2 -2
(Home: 0-1)
Hey
check it out, I get to root for Florida State!
The best part of watching FSU play
bottom level ACC teams, is observing how they really do
treat such games as full contact practices. Against lowly
France they pounded the running game over and over and over,
just to see what their O-line was capable off. Last week
against Dook they held a second scrimmage. The Noles barely
touched the ground game, preferring instead to work on the fine
timing of their passing game, and to get backup QB Adrian McPherson
some much needed reps.
As a counterpoint, against defending
ACC Champs Maryland, they played a "real" game. They ran
a balanced attack and clamped down hard on defense. Expect
more of the same against CUSA contender Cardinals.
Pick: FSU
Saturday, September
28
3:30 pm EST
ESPN+, Gameplan
-31
Texas (#2)
3-0 (Away: 1-0)
Tulane
2-2 (Home: 1-0)
This
game will go on. In the advent of a Hurricane, the Superdome
can be used as a flotation device.
Pick: Texas
7:00 pm EST
TBS
South Florida
2 -1
(Away: 0-1)
-28
Oklahoma (#3)
3 -0
(Home: 2-0)
Shhhh.
Quiet. Oklahoma's #3 and no one's talking about them at
all.
Pick: Okie
12:00 pm EST
ESPN+, Gameplan
-22.5
Virginia Tech (#5)
4-0 (Away: 1-0)
Western Michigan
1-2 (Home: 1-0)
First
game all year I'm not going to see in person. Then again,
there's something relaxing about sitting on a bar stool, sucking
on the suds as I actually get to hear the commentary and see
the replays. Away games have a charm all their own.
Gary Darnell says that the Western
Michigan quarterback situation is "up in the air". I say
nonsense. No matter who's taking snaps their situation
is likely to be "flat on their back." If he's even on
the field; Western Michigan has had a fair amount of trouble
stopping the run this year. That's trouble when our QB
is a bit gimpy and both of our RBs have some stats to pad to
make up for last week. This game could look a lot like
Marshall, only without quite the same aerial show from the opposition.
Pick: HOKIES!
12:00 pm EST
ESPN+, Gameplan
Indiana
2-2 (Away: 0-2)
-27.5
Ohio State (#6)
4-0 (Home: 3-0)
Don't
let last game fool you. Ohio State is most certainly for
real. They ran into a highly motivated team with a good
quarterback and a lot to prove. They were missing their
star tailback and still managed to hang on. Being a champion
doesn't always mean blowing out everyone. Being a champion
sometimes means puling out a "W" when by all rights you should
have lost.
Pick: tOSU
1:00 pm EST
New Mexico State
1-2 (Away: 0-2)
(off)
Georgia (#7)
3 -0
(Home: 2-0)
Nowhere,
I mean nowhere are people happier to see Spurrier gone
than in Athens, GA. For once, they can say that they have
a realistic shot at winning the SEC title!
Pick: UGA
3:30 pm EST
CBS
Kentucky
4-0 (Away: 1-0)
-19.5
Florida (#9)
3-1 (Home: 2-1)
vedy
vedy interesting... Well
not so much actually. Kentucky is off to a fine start,
but they just don't have the horses to hang with the Gators
for long. If it's basketball turn it around, but it's
the Foosball, so the 'Cats are sunk.
Hey, and how bout how Kentucky
turned it around just in time to get that postseason ban!
Viva la SEC!
Pick: UK
7:00 pm EST
ppv
Rutgers
1-3 (Away: 0-1)
-40.5
Tennessee (#11)
2 -1
(Home: 2-1)
Gotta
love them Scarlet Knights, always there when you need a nice
ego boost.
Pick: Vols
12:00 pm EST
ESPN
Iowa
3-1 (Away: 1-0)
-8
Penn State (#12)
3 -0
(Home: 2-0)
Hey,
that Michael Robinson kid looks to be pretty good. Anyone
here ever heard of him before now? ;o) That's trouble
for Iowa. They've got a solid offense and run defense,
but the secondary is sketchy at best. JoePa may not be
the most flamboyant offensive coach that ever walked the sideline,
but he knows how to utilize his team's strengths. I do
kind of like Iowa, though. They've won the last two against PSU, and the Nits always seem to sleepwalk through one game
per year. Could this be it?
Pick: Hawkeyes
3:30 pm EST
Idaho
1-3 (Away: 0-3)
-30.5
Washington (#13)
2-1 (Home: 2-0)
Spudbowl
2002. What a winnah!
Pick: UDub
3:30 pm EST
ABC, Gameplan
-7.5
Michigan (#14)
3-1 (Away: 0-1)
Illinois
1-3
(Home: 0-2)
Last
year this game decided the Big Ten title. This year, it's
almost meaningless. Illinois has a serious Sugar Bowl
hangover, and can't seem to beat anyone not named Arkansas State.
Michigan is the archetype plodding
Big Ten behemoth this year. It's a defense-first team.
That's fine of course, but not when you can't even kick field
goals. It probably won't be the Illini, but Michigan's
going to drop a couple more along the way.
Pick: Illinois
1:00 pm EST
Massachusets (I-AA)
2-1 (Away: 0-1)
(no line)
N. C. State
5-0 (Home: 3-0)
Wow.
Two I-AA opponents in one year. The 'Pack was out of the
MNC hunt before the first snap of the season.
Pick: Stronger scheduling
5:00 pm EST
(off)
Washington State (#18)
3-1 (Away: 0-1)
California
3-1 (Home: 2-1)
Well
Cinderella's bubble just burst, just two points and one week
shy of conference play to boot.
OK, so there's no line set for this
game. Standard procedure when one team's top two quarterbacks
are nursing injuries. But we all know Wazzou is favored
right? It's just a question of by how much. So given
that assumption, I'm making Cal my upset special. No matter
the line, they cover if they win outright.
Pick: Cal
3:30 pm EST
ABC, Gameplan
Nebraska (#19)
3-1 (Away: 0-1)
-pk-
Iowa State (#21)
4-1 (Home: 3-1)
Iowa
State at even money. Think about that.I don't think
that there has ever been a time in their history where Nebraska
has been faced with a defining game in Ames, Iowa. There
is now. We all saw the big fat egg that the Huskers laid
up in State College. Their offense is struggling with
inexperience all over the field, and their defense has been
rolled for 35+ points in three of their last seven games.
It isn't panic time yet, but if the Cyclones can seize this
opportunity there's going to be an awful lot of unhappy corner
store talk in Huskerland. Their one saving grace is that
they've had two weeks to figure out what's going wrong.
The Clones are jacked up. You couldn't write them a
better script. They're getting the chance to knock Nebraska
out of the Top 25 for the first time since the leather helmet
era. At home. On network television. If you
haven't seen Seneca Wallace play yet, it's time to tune in and
get your learn on.
Pick: Nebraska
12:30 pm EST
ESPN+, Jefferson
Pilot
Mississippi State
1-2 (Away: 0-1)
-13
LSU (#20)
2-1 (Home: 2-0)
I don't
know what happened to Mississippi State. They used to
be good didn't they? They had that whole "all defense
- no offense" thing going on pretty strong. It ain't perfect,
but it wins more often than not in college. Now though, sheesh, they don't even have that anymore. I think they've
been stealing plays from Texas A&M, but they got the wrong half
of the playbook. The Tigs
should handle them pretty well I'd hope.
Pick: LSU
6:30 pm EST
FoxSportsNet
Oregon State (#24)
4-0 (Away: 1-0)
-3
Southern California (#22)
2-1 (Home: 1-0)
Last
week Kansas State proved that they are "for real" by defeating
the Pac Ten glamour boys from Southern Cal. This week
Oregon State gets to try to do the same. Of course, that
presupposes that USC themselves are "for real," a moniker I
have trouble affixing to any Pete Carroll-coached team.
Then again, Oregon State doesn't win at USC. It just doesn't
happen. Not in the last 40 years.
Beavers and Trojans. Tee-hee
:o)
Pick: U of SC
4:00 pm EST
-11.5
Colorado State (#23)
3-1 (Away: 2-1)
Nevada
2 -1
(Home: 2-0)
Is
there any team in the nation hotter than Nevada right now?
They've actually got a winning streak for the first time in
years! Let's go Cowboys! No wait, that's Wyoming.
What's Nevada anyway? Oh yeah ... let's go Wolfpack!
Pick: CSU
9:00 pm EST
ESPN2
Syracuse
1-2 (Away: 0-1)
-14
Auburn (#25)
3-1 (Home: 2-0)
All right,
so with the standard 0-2 opening out of the way, Syracuse will
now start to play up to their capabilities right? Well
it sure would be nice! Last year's Auburn game started
the Cuse on their way to a 10 win season. Syracuse's defense
has been much maligned since getting rolled by BYU, but that's
hardly a rare trick by the Cougs. This could be a statement
game for the Big Orange. Let's hope they make the right
one. Auburn is coming off
a brutal stretch of 4 games in only 18 days. They're a
bit banged up, and they've got to be exhausted. Jordan-Hare
is not among the easiest places to play, but if there's such
a thing as a good time to do it, today is that time.
Pick: Cuse
12:00 pm EST
Central Michigan
3-1 (Away: 1-1)
-20
Boston College
2-1 (Home: 2-0)
Tom
O'Brien is obviously a quality coach, and he seems to know a
little something about slowing down Miami. He's got to
do something about the woeful lack of team speed, however, if
Boston College is ever going to aspire to a conference title.
Pick: CMU
12:00 pm EST
-4.5
Cincinnati
1-2 (Away: 0-0)
Temple
1-3 (Home: 1-2)
Well
this one just got interesting. If Cinci has to go with
their backup QB, does Temple stand a chance? If it were
anyone else, I'd say yes.
Pick: Cinci
12:00 pm EST
ESPN+, Gameplan
East Carolina
1-2 (Away: 0-2)
-7
West Virginia
2-1 (Home: 1-0)
Go
'Eers right? Right. Go 'Eers! So long as it's
on Gameplan and not preempting my Hokies broadcast, I'm all
about them 'Eers.
Pick: WVU
1:30 pm EST
Toledo
3-1 (Away: 1-1)
-4.5
Pittsburgh
3 -1
(Home: 2-1)
Western
Michigan, Central Michigan, and now Toledo. Must be MAC
week in the Big East. UPitt's
offense is flat out awful. They couldn't execute against
Rutgers. I was prepared to excuse their struggles against
UAB, until the Blazers went and got stomped 34-0 by Louisiana-Lafayette
last week. Nope, UPitt hasn't even been getting it done
against bad teams. Maybe they're just playing possum until
they have to play us. Yeah. That's probably how
it's gonna work.
Pick: Mud Hens
Last Week: 12-7 (YTD: 49-46-3)
TV Game of the Week: Nebraska at
Iowa State
Upset Special: Cal over Washington
State (YTD: 4-2)
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