TSLX Spotlight: Inside the Numbers: 2001 Bowl Payouts by Will Stewart, TSL Extra #14, December 20, 2001 Editor's Note: June is TSL Extra Month here at TechSideline.com. We're looking for new subscribers to the TSL Extra, and in an effort to introduce non-subscribers to the great content available in the TSLX, we'll be running weekly "TSLX Spotlight" articles this month. Each spotlight article will reprint a TSLX article from a past issue, in order to introduce you to the quality writing and depth of coverage the TSL Extra provides. Our goal this month is to bring in as many new subscribers as possible. June is a great time to subscribe to the TSL Extra, because it will get you on board in time for the 2002 season, before coverage of Tech's longest, and arguably most exciting, football season ever starts to kick in this July. Signing up now for a year of the TSL Extra means you'll be a subscriber through this coming season, recruiting 2003, and spring football 2003. The TSL Extra is a monthly e-publication that is available for $24.95 per year (just over $2 a month) and brings you fascinating, in-depth articles on Virginia Tech athletics. No one covers Virginia Tech sports like the TSL Extra. To learn more and to subscribe, click here. And be sure to check out our free TSLX Sampler for five more great articles from the TSL Extra. Quit putting it off! Subscribe today and find out what you've been missing! Note: This article is an example of an "Inside the Numbers" article. Each ITN article does a statistical analysis on a facet of Hokie sports or college sports, and one such article appears in each TSL Extra. This season, there are 25 bowls paying out a total of $147,140,000. That's nearly $150 million to spread around 50 teams. But when you start digging into what teams from which conferences get all that money, you quickly discover to no one's surprise, that the rich are getting richer in the bowl system. This month in "Inside the Numbers," we'll break down the bowl payouts and tell you where all the money goes. We did this same analysis two years ago, after the Hokies' run at the 1999 national championship, and we found that two years later, nothing much has changed. There are two new bowls that boost the total payout slightly, but it's still the haves -- namely the BCS teams and conferences -- and the have-nots. First, let's define our terms: the BCS conferences are, of course, the ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, PAC 10, and SEC. The non-BCS conferences are everyone else: Conference USA (CUSA), the Mountain West, the WAC, the MAC, and the Sun Belt. Those are the only conferences that are tied into bowls. Note that per-team payouts are not really the dollar amounts that go to each team. Bowl money goes to the conferences, and then the conferences distribute the money to their members as they see fit. In most of the BCS conferences, the total bowl money brought in by a conference is distributed evenly amongst all the teams in the conference. This is not the case in the Big East and the SEC, where participating teams are rewarded more handsomely. The ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and PAC 10 split revenues equally among all members. The Big East splits the revenues equally among all members after deducting "participation" allowances, which are based on conference standings. The Big East conference champion, which participates in a BCS bowl, has a $4 million "allowance." Second place has an allowance of $1.8 million, third place $1.65 million, and so on through all their bowl tie-ins. The SEC isn't quite as generous to participating teams, although it does split revenue based on a formula where participating members receive a larger share based on the bowl payout. Non-participating members split the balance. Another little nugget about the BCS is that in addition to the big money that it pays out to the BCS conferences, it also pays out about $5 million per year to non-BCS conferences. In 2000, the WAC, Mountain West, and Conference USA each got $800,000 from the BCS. The MAC got $600,000, and the Big West received $300,000. Eight non-BCS Division 1AA conferences received another $1.2 million ($150,000 apiece). Note that for purposes of this analysis, we'll assume the BCS payouts to non-BCS conferences are the same for 2001 as they were for 2000. We'll also assume that the Sun Belt, which didn't get a payment last year, will receive $300,000, like the Big West did last year. A Little-Known Fact About BCS Payouts The BCS bowl (Rose, Sugar, Fiesta, and Orange) payouts are defined as $11.67 million per team. This year, the Big 12 and SEC have two BCS teams each, so you would think the payouts would go like this:
But there's a little-known wrinkle in how the BCS distributes the money. In order to keep the two-team conferences from profiting so much in comparison to the one-team conferences, this rule is invoked (from the BCS web site):
What that means is this: Each conference gets $11.78 million to start. Since the Big 12 and SEC have two teams, they each get an additional $6 million (for $17.78 million total), and another $11.56 million ($5.78 million times two) is distributed to the other four conferences, giving them $14.67 million each:
You can see that a split of $17.78 million versus $14.67 million is much more equitable than $23.56 million versus $11.78 million. The Data: Payout by Bowl Having said all that, let's get started. For a complete list of bowls, their payouts, and participating teams, click here. From a money standpoint, if you want to take a quick snapshot of the bowls and their payouts, here it is:
The growth in the number of bowls in recent years has all been at the bottom end, the $750k bowls ($750,000 is the minimum payout required by the NCAA to certify a bowl). If you look at the $1 million bowls and up, you see the familiar names: Independence Bowl, Sun Bowl, Gator Bowl, Peach Bowl, Citrus Bowl, etc. If you look at the bottom end, you see the Johnny-come-latelies: New Orleans Bowl, Tangerine Bowl, Seattle Bowl, Galleryfurniture.com Bowl, Motor City Bowl, Silicon Valley Classic, etc. And if you look at bottom end, you see the non-BCS conferences: WAC, MAC, Sun Belt, CUSA, and Mountain West. If you look at the upper end bowls ($1 million and up), you see the power BCS conferences: SEC, Big 12, Big Ten, etc. Take a look at this table, which clearly shows that the power conferences get the big-money bowls.
You quickly note that once the payouts get above $800,000, the non-BCS teams disappear. The one exception is the Liberty Bowl, which pays $1.3 million per team and pits the Conference USA champion against the Mountain West champion (which is an excellent matchup this year, featuring 12-1 Brigham Young against 10-2 Louisville). But other than the Liberty Bowl, non-BCS teams usually earn just $750,000 for playing a bowl. BCS Conferences Versus Non-BCS Conferences Let's take a look at the total and per-team payouts that go to each conference.
Here are some items worth noting:
And Within the BCS Conferences, the Rich Get Richer Within the-rich-get-richer scenario of the BCS versus non-BCS conferences, there is a rich-get-richer subplot going on right within the BCS conferences. Namely, the SEC, Big Ten, Big 12 and PAC 10 are getting richer, but the ACC and Big East are not. In the four years the BCS has been in existence, the BCS bowl invitations extended to the conferences have gone thus:
The ACC and Big East have never had an at-large team selected for a BCS bowl … and it may never happen, either. You can see that the SEC has had two teams selected for BCS bowls almost every year, and the Big Ten is right behind them, averaging two teams every other year. The Big 12, PAC 10, and Notre Dame have picked up the three at-large bids in four years that the SEC and Big Ten have not taken up. In short, out of 8 at-large bids, the SEC and Big Ten have had 5 of them. In 1997, a very deserving North Carolina team, ranked #5 in the country, was passed over for a big bowl (okay, that was pre-BCS days, but you get my point). The at-large bids that year went to Kansas State (ranked #9) and Ohio State (ranked #10). In 2000, a very deserving VT team, ranked #5 in the country and #5 in the BCS, was passed over for Notre Dame (ranked #10 and #11 in the BCS) in the Fiesta Bowl. The snub of ACC and Big East teams in favor of teams from the other BCS conferences and yes, Notre Dame, is likely to continue for the foreseeable future, particularly in years where Florida State wins the ACC and Miami wins the Big East. The ACC and Big East are included in the BCS scenario primarily because FSU and Miami, two of college football's glamour teams, are in those conferences. Once you get beyond FSU and Miami, the college football power structure, which centers on traditional powers from the other four BCS conferences, doesn't have much use for the Big East and ACC. The only way the ACC or Big East will ever likely get two bids is if FSU and/or Miami loses the conference championship but is very highly ranked at the end of the season (for instance, VT goes 11-0 and Miami goes 10-1, with the only loss coming to VT). In that case, the BCS will be forced to take the ACC and/or Big East champion, and might pick FSU or Miami at large. But if you're waiting for the BCS to pick an at-large team from the ACC or Big East that is not FSU or Miami, then you'll be waiting for a long time. Last year, they passed up the #5 team in the country (VT) with one of the most exciting players ever in college football (Michael Vick). The point is, that $14.67 million figure that you see next to the ACC and Big East's BCS bowl revenue this year is likely to always stay at that number. The $17.78 million figure that the Big 12 and SEC are enjoying this year is likely to get passed around between them, the Big Ten, and the PAC 10. The Data You can download the bowl payout data and view it, either as a web page, or as a Microsoft Excel 97 spreadsheet. To view it as a web page, go here: http://www.techsideline.com/tslextrapromo/bowlmatchups20012002.htm To download the data yourself in Microsoft Excel 97 spreadsheet format, head to this link: http://www.techsideline.com/tslextrapromo/bowlmatchups20012002.xls (Right-click the link and do a "Save Link As" or "Save Target As" to save the Excel file to disk.)
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